Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [9][16]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.578 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.514 billion yuan, up 20.16% year-on-year [4][7]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 4.509 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.84%, but a slight decline in net profit by 1.03% [4][5]. - The company is focusing on inventory reduction to enhance market quality and is expected to maintain stable growth in 2025 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 179.85 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 95.1 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 73.5 billion yuan [3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit margin of 23.39% in 2024, an increase of 0.73 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 23.577 billion yuan, 26.006 billion yuan, and 28.996 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 16.41%, 10.30%, and 11.50% [7][11]. Product and Market Insights - The company is expected to see stable performance in its core products, particularly in the domestic market, with a focus on high-end and mid-range products [5][6]. - The management emphasizes the importance of customer service and collaboration with distributors to enhance market presence [5]. Earnings Forecast - The forecasted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 10.43 yuan, 11.72 yuan, and 13.43 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 15, and 13 [7][9].
古井贡酒:业绩符合预期,25年有望保持稳健增长-20250412