BYD(SZ:002594) Xinda Securities·2025-04-13 01:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD (002594.SZ) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.5 billion to 10 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 86.0% to 118.9% [2] - BYD's vehicle sales reached 1 million units in the first quarter of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, with a single vehicle net profit of 8500 to 10,000 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.4% to 40.0% [2] - The company's overseas sales grew significantly, with 206,000 units sold in the first quarter of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 110% [2] - BYD's R&D investment exceeded 54.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, focusing on smart and electric vehicle technologies [2] - The company forecasts net profits of 54.8 billion, 66.5 billion, and 79.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20x, 16x, and 14x, maintaining a "Buy" rating [2] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 60.23 billion yuan, with projected revenues of 77.71 billion yuan in 2024 and 99.67 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting growth rates of 42.0%, 29.0%, and 28.3% respectively [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 30 billion yuan, with projections of 40.3 billion yuan in 2024 and 54.8 billion yuan in 2025, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 80.7%, 34.0%, and 36.1% respectively [3] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 18.6% in 2023 to 20.8% by 2027 [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain stable around 24.5% from 2025 to 2027 [3]