Sanmei(SH:603379) Changjiang Securities·2025-04-13 14:41Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, projecting a range of CNY 370 million to CNY 430 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 139.4% to 177.7%. The forecasted net profit excluding non-recurring items is expected to be between CNY 360 million and CNY 420 million, indicating a growth of 136.3% to 174.6% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Performance Outlook - The company anticipates a substantial rise in the average price of refrigerants in Q1 2025 due to a reduction in production quotas for second-generation fluorinated refrigerants (HCFCs) and continued management of third-generation refrigerants (HFCs). This has led to an improved supply-demand balance and rising market prices [11]. - The average domestic market prices for refrigerants R22, R32, R134a, R125, and R143a in Q1 2025 are projected to be CNY 34,100, CNY 44,200, CNY 44,600, CNY 43,500, and CNY 43,900 per ton, respectively, with significant increases compared to Q4 2024 [11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming peak season in Q2 2025, with projected increases in air conditioning production and a rise in long-term contract prices for refrigerants [11]. Employee Stock Ownership Plan - The employee stock ownership plan aims to hold up to 3.7231 million shares, approximately 0.61% of the company's total share capital. The plan includes performance targets for revenue and net profit growth over the next three years [11]. Industry Position - As a leading company in the refrigerant industry, it is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing improvement in industry conditions, with projected earnings of CNY 770 million, CNY 2.19 billion, and CNY 3.05 billion for the years 2024 to 2026 [11].