TONGWEI CO.,LTD(SH:600438) Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-04-14 01:47Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the given reports. 2. Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of industrial silicon remain weak, while polysilicon shows short - term wide - range fluctuations, and attention should be paid to the registration of warehouse receipts [1]. - The company has significant competitive advantages in the photovoltaic and feed business fields. Since increasing its layout in the photovoltaic module business in the second half of 2022, the module business has developed rapidly. In 2024, the module shipment reached 45.71GW, a year - on - year increase of 46.91% [4]. - The trend strength of industrial silicon is - 1, indicating a bearish outlook, and the trend strength of polysilicon is 1, indicating a bullish outlook [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro and Industry News - On April 8, Tongwei Co., Ltd. (SH:600438) announced the signing of large - scale sales agreements and the winning and short - listing of major projects for its module business. The total signed sales agreements were 1036MW, and the total project winning/short - listing was 23.286GW, with a total of 24.322GW [1]. 3.2 Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Futures Market - Prices: The closing price of Si2505 was 9,455 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan from T - 1, 365 yuan from T - 5, and 530 yuan from T - 22. The closing price of PS2506 was 41,835 yuan/ton, down 355 yuan from T - 1 and 1,815 yuan from T - 5 [2]. - Volumes and Positions: The trading volume of Si2505 was 110,698 lots, down 46,093 lots from T - 1, 26,002 lots from T - 5, and 96,854 lots from T - 22. The trading volume of PS2506 was 27,028 lots, up 5,413 lots from T - 1 and 12,713 lots from T - 5 [2]. - Spreads and Costs: The spread between the near - month contract and the continuous first contract for industrial silicon was 20 yuan/ton, and the cost of the spread trading strategy of buying the near - month contract and selling the continuous first contract was 46.3 yuan/ton. The spread between the near - month contract and the continuous first contract for polysilicon was 815.0 yuan/ton [2]. 3.3 Basis - Industrial Silicon: The spot premium of industrial silicon (compared to East China Si5530) was +625 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan from T - 1, 205 yuan from T - 5, and down 25 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Polysilicon: The spot premium of polysilicon (compared to N - type re - investment) was +1665 yuan/ton, up 355 yuan from T - 1, 1,815 yuan from T - 5, and 2,285 yuan from T - 22 [2]. 3.4 Prices - Industrial Silicon: The price of oxygen - passing Si5530 in the East China region was 10,100 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan from T - 1, 100 yuan from T - 5, and 500 yuan from T - 22. The price of Si4210 in the Yunnan region was 11,200 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, down 150 yuan from T - 5, and 300 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Polysilicon: The price of polysilicon - N - type re - investment material was 42,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, T - 5, and T - 22 [2]. 3.5 Profits - Industrial Silicon: The profit of silicon plants (Xinjiang new standard 553) was - 2,697 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan from T - 1, 1,045 yuan from T - 5, and 1,071 yuan from T - 22. The profit of silicon plants (Yunnan new standard 553) was - 5,418 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan from T - 1, 1,045 yuan from T - 5, and 1,176 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Polysilicon: The profit of polysilicon enterprises was - 3.3 yuan/kg, up 0.1 yuan from T - 1, 0.2 yuan from T - 5, and 0.6 yuan from T - 22 [2]. 3.6 Inventories - Industrial Silicon: The social inventory of industrial silicon (including warehouse receipt inventory) was 61.2 million tons, with an increase of 0.4 million tons from T - 5 and 1.8 million tons from T - 22. The enterprise inventory of industrial silicon (sample enterprises) was 27.3 million tons, with an increase of 0.65 million tons from T - 5 and a decrease of 1.6 million tons from T - 22 [2]. - Polysilicon: The factory inventory of polysilicon was 23.6 million tons, with a decrease of 1.1 million tons from T - 5 and 2.5 million tons from T - 22 [2]. 3.7 Raw Material Costs - Silicon Ore: The price of silicon ore in Xinjiang was 440 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, T - 5, and T - 22. The price of silicon ore in Yunnan was 410 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, T - 5, and T - 22 [2]. - Washed Coking Coal: The price of washed coking coal in Xinjiang was 1,620 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan from T - 5 and 40 yuan from T - 22. The price of washed coking coal in Ningxia was 1,040 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, down 35 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Petroleum Coke: The price of Maoming coke was 1,400 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, T - 5, and T - 22. The price of Yangzi coke was 1,790 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan from T - 5 and T - 22 [2]. - Electrodes: The price of graphite electrodes was 12,700 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1 and T - 5, up 450 yuan from T - 22. The price of carbon electrodes was 8,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, T - 5, and down 100 yuan from T - 22 [2]. 3.8 Other Related Industries - Photovoltaic: The price of silicon wafers (N - type - 182mm) was 1.25 yuan/piece, down 0.03 yuan from T - 1 and T - 5, up 0.06 yuan from T - 22. The price of battery cells (TOPCon - M10) was 0.303 yuan/watt, unchanged from T - 1 and T - 5, down 0.60 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Organic Silicon: The price of DMC was 13,750 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1, down 400 yuan from T - 5, and 350 yuan from T - 22. The profit of DMC enterprises was 884 yuan/ton, up 33 yuan from T - 1, down 381 yuan from T - 5, and up 116 yuan from T - 22 [2]. - Aluminum Alloy: The price of ADC12 was 20,600 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan from T - 1, 400 yuan from T - 5, and 700 yuan from T - 22. The profit of recycled aluminum enterprises was 1,020 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan from T - 1, 580 yuan from T - 5, and 430 yuan from T - 22 [2].