2025 年以来全球光伏需求保持增长态势，但逐步进入平稳增长期，海外市场需 求分化，欧美新增光伏装机量下滑，印度、中东等新兴市场需求增长；国内 2025 年上半年在"抢装潮"驱动下装机量同比增长，但下半年同比有所回落。供给侧 产能过剩，组件价格跌破现金成本线。技术迭代方面，差异化和降本并行。2025 年光伏电池技术呈现多元化竞争格局，银价大幅上涨推动降银技术加速布局。"反 内卷"政策组合拳落地，市场竞争秩序与产能治理取得进展。2025 年下半年硅 料等环节价格回升带动企业盈利改善，部分企业单季度扭亏。 2026 年 3 月 26 日 展望 2026 年，我们认为光伏行业将进入产能出清和格局重塑的关键阶段。全球 及国内装机增速放缓，区域分化下新兴市场结构性机会凸显。新型需求有望成为 重要增量。储能业务进入放量期，光储协同有望成为新的利润增长点并间接支撑 光伏消纳。当前产业链价格仍处低位、企业盈利承压，叠加技术迭代与产能调整 周期，市场化兼并重组有望逐渐落地，供给端有望优化。 2、光伏行业可转债基本情况 总量研究 光伏主产业链可转债梳理 ——光伏行业可转债专题研究系列之一 要点 1、光伏行业概览 执业证书编号：S ...

2026 年 03 月 24 日 并购深化产业协同，增强公司核心 竞争优势 ——上市公司重大资产重组、股权激励计划月度跟踪 （2026 年 2 月） 相关研究 《重大资产重组助力产业链整合， 增强公司一体化优势——上市公司 重大资产重组、股权激励计划月度 跟踪（2026 年 1 月）》 2026/02/13 《系列政策协同加持，并购重组和 股权激励有望激发市场活力——上 市公司重大资产重组、股权激励计 划月度跟踪（2025 年 12 月）》 2026/01/20 证券分析师 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 联系人 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔 ...

2026 年 03 月 24 日 并购深化产业协同，增强公司核心 竞争优势 ——上市公司重大资产重组、股权激励计划月度跟踪 （2026 年 2 月） 相关研究 《重大资产重组助力产业链整合， 增强公司一体化优势——上市公司 重大资产重组、股权激励计划月度 跟踪（2026 年 1 月）》 2026/02/13 《系列政策协同加持，并购重组和 股权激励有望激发市场活力——上 市公司重大资产重组、股权激励计 划月度跟踪（2025 年 12 月）》 2026/01/20 证券分析师 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 刘雅婧 A0230521080001 liuyj@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 联系人 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002 mujj@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时 ...

张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 Si2605收盘价（元/吨） | T 8,575 | T-1 120 | T-5 -110 | T-22 205 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2605成交量（手） | 221,416 | -23,563 | 117,327 | 60,946 | | | | Si2605持仓量（手） | 230,888 | -14,351 | -5,774 | -76,876 | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | | PS2605收盘价（元/吨） | 35,435 | -2,330 | -6,270 | - | | | | PS2605成交量（手） | 12,786 | 4,196 | 6,930 | - | | | | PS2605持仓量（手） | 32,015 | -1,305 | -2,632 | - | | | | 工业硅：近月合约对连一价差（元/吨） | -60 | 0 | -35 | -60 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The domestic demand for offshore wind energy is expected to see significant growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a target of over 100 million kilowatts of cumulative grid-connected capacity by the end of the plan [6][11]. - The silicon material supply and demand situation in the photovoltaic sector is under pressure, with prices for polysilicon dropping and a potential slowdown in export growth due to changes in tax policies [28][29]. - The hydrogen energy sector is set to accelerate its industrialization process, supported by new pilot projects initiated by government agencies [7]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - The 14th Five-Year Plan outlines the construction of offshore wind power bases in various seas, aiming for over 100 million kilowatts of cumulative grid-connected capacity [6][11]. - As of December 2025, the total installed wind power capacity in China is projected to reach 640 million kilowatts, with a year-on-year growth of 23% [11]. - The offshore wind power sector is expected to add over 53 gigawatts (GW) during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an average annual installation of over 10 GW [11]. Photovoltaics - The average transaction price for polysilicon has decreased to 39,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a 6.12% week-on-week decline [28]. - The photovoltaic industry faces challenges due to weak demand and high inventory levels, leading to a potential industry consolidation phase [28]. - The photovoltaic equipment index has seen a slight decline of 0.16%, while the solar cell component index dropped by 2.01% [29]. Energy Storage & Hydrogen Energy - A new pilot program for hydrogen energy applications has been launched, aiming for large-scale applications in urban areas by 2030, with hydrogen prices targeted to drop below 25 yuan per kilogram [7]. - The hydrogen energy sector is expected to see a doubling of fuel cell vehicle ownership by 2030, reaching around 100,000 vehicles [7]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies with strong competitive advantages in energy storage and hydrogen energy sectors [7].

Group 1 - Tesla plans to procure photovoltaic manufacturing equipment worth $2.9 billion from China, primarily for T-chain ground applications, with negotiations involving multiple TOPCon equipment manufacturers [5] - Key photovoltaic equipment manufacturers include Maiwei, Jiejia Weichuang, Aotewei, and others, while material manufacturers include Tongwei, Daqo Energy, and TCL Zhonghuan [6] - The article lists various companies involved in different segments of the photovoltaic industry, including battery and component manufacturers like Trina Solar and JinkoSolar, as well as inverter and energy storage system companies like Sungrow and GoodWe [6]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry or companies mentioned [2] Core Insights - The overall industry strategy emphasizes the importance of the energy storage industry chain, suggesting increased investment in upstream materials like lithium carbonate and focusing on midstream materials such as separators and electrolytes [3][4] - Leading companies in the solid-state battery industry, such as CATL and others, are expected to benefit from advancements in technology and production capabilities [3][4] - The new energy sector is experiencing significant growth, with a notable increase in installed capacity for energy storage, particularly in February 2026, where new installations reached 10.06 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 242% [4][24] Summary by Sections Industry Outlook Tracking - The report highlights the cancellation of import tariffs on offshore wind power components in the UK, which is expected to lower production costs and stimulate investment in clean energy [9][23] - The report notes that the EU is pushing for energy localization and has set ambitious renewable energy targets, which may pose challenges for Chinese companies entering the European market [9][10] - The domestic energy storage market is in a favorable position, with significant growth in new installations and a focus on lithium iron phosphate technology [4][24] Company Outlook Tracking - CATL has announced a new patent for solid-state battery technology, aiming for small-scale production by 2027 and large-scale commercialization by 2030 [21][22] - Tianqi Lithium is planning to build a new production facility for lithium battery materials, indicating a strategic move to enhance its market position [24] - Trina Storage has secured over 6 GWh of contracts in Europe, reflecting its strong market presence and the growing demand for energy storage solutions [20][21]

| 股票代码：600438 | 股票简称：通威股份 | 公告编号：2026-018 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：110085 | 债券简称：通 22 转债 | | 通威股份有限公司 关于不向下修正"通 22 转债"转股价格的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 自 2026 年 2 月 1 日至 2026 年 3 月 16 日，通威股份有限公司（以下简称 "公司"）股票收盘价在连续三十个交易日中有十五个交易日低于当期转股价格 的 85%（29.41 元/股），已触发"通 22 转债"的转股价格向下修正条款。经公司 第九届董事会第八次会议审议通过，公司董事会决定本次不向下修正转股价格， 并在作出本次董事会决议后 3 个月内（即 2026 年 3 月 17 日至 2026 年 6 月 16 日） 亦不提出转股价格向下修正方案。 自 2026 年 6 月 17 日起首个交易日重新开始计算，如"通 22 转债"未来 再次触发转股价格向下修正条款，公司董事会将再次召开会议决定 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The UK government will eliminate import tariffs on offshore wind components starting April 1, 2026, aiming to boost the domestic offshore wind manufacturing industry and reduce production costs [5][10] - The National Energy Investment Group is accelerating its layout in energy consumption sectors, emphasizing the importance of green electricity and low-carbon development [6][25] - New regulations in Germany regarding rooftop solar may benefit household energy storage systems, pushing small solar systems to respond to market price signals [6][22] Wind Power - The UK will cancel import tariffs on 33 types of offshore wind-related industrial products, which is expected to lower manufacturing costs and reflect the government's commitment to offshore wind development [5][10] - The wind power index increased by 0.83% in the week of March 9-13, 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.64 percentage points, with a current PE_TTM valuation of approximately 26.04 times [3][11] - The auction results from January 2026 awarded 8.4GW of offshore wind capacity, indicating the government's ability to stabilize market expectations despite economic pressures [5][10] Solar Power - The National Energy Investment Group is focusing on green electricity and low-carbon new tracks, which is seen as a significant opportunity for business model innovation in the energy sector [6][25] - The solar equipment index rose by 6.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.68 percentage points [6][26] Energy Storage & Hydrogen - New regulations in Germany will stop fixed feed-in tariffs for small solar installations under 25kW, promoting market responsiveness and potentially increasing the penetration of household energy storage systems [6][22] - The energy storage sector is experiencing high demand, with recommendations for companies like Sungrow Power Supply, Huaneng Renewables, and others in the domestic and international markets [6][22]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The energy storage lithium battery sector is experiencing an upward trend, while Europe and North America continue to face electricity shortages [1] - The report highlights the strong demand for energy storage and the ongoing positive outlook for the industry, driven by various government policies and market dynamics [3][7] Industry Trends - The report notes significant price increases in various segments, including lithium carbonate and battery materials, indicating a robust market environment [3] - The energy storage capacity in the U.S. is projected to grow significantly, with expectations of 51% year-on-year growth in 2026 [7] - The report emphasizes the importance of new energy policies in various regions, including the U.S. and Europe, which are expected to further stimulate demand for energy storage solutions [3][19] Company Performance - Notable companies such as CATL and Tianqi Lithium are highlighted for their strong financial performance, with CATL's net profit expected to reach 72.2 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.3% [3] - The report mentions several companies with significant growth potential, including Ningde Times, Sunshine Power, and others, which are positioned well in the energy storage and lithium battery markets [3][6] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a focus on leading companies in the energy storage and lithium battery sectors, recommending investments in firms like CATL, Yihua Lithium Energy, and others due to their strong growth prospects and market positions [3][6] - The report also indicates a favorable outlook for companies involved in the development of solid-state batteries and advanced energy storage technologies [3][4]