Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable growth supported by an expanding management scale, with a projected management area growth of 7.4% year-on-year to 431.1 million square meters by the end of 2024 [5][6] - Profit margins are anticipated to stabilize from 2025 to 2027, with net profit expected to grow at a high single-digit rate during this period [5][6] - The target price remains unchanged at HKD 6.30, indicating a potential upside of 18.6% from the current price [1][5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 13,051 million - 2024: RMB 14,024 million (up 7.5% year-on-year) - 2025E: RMB 15,227 million (up 8.6% year-on-year) [4][10] - Core profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 1,343 million - 2024: RMB 1,511 million (up 12.5% year-on-year) - 2025E: RMB 1,651 million (up 9.3% year-on-year) [4][10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to rebound to 16.6% in 2024, with a stable range of 16-17% projected for 2025-2027 [5][6] Share Performance - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 3.71% and has a market capitalization of approximately HKD 17,437.83 million [3][4]
中海物业：管理规模扩大支撑稳定增长，维持买入评级-20250414