HPEC(SH:600312) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-04-14 06:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong start to 2025, with Q1 revenue of 25.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, and a net profit of 3.58 billion yuan, up 55.9% year-on-year [4][5] - The company achieved a total revenue of 124.02 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 12.0% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 10.23 billion yuan, which is a 25.4% increase year-on-year [4][5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025 down to 15.13 billion yuan from 15.69 billion yuan, while increasing the 2026 forecast to 17.79 billion yuan from 17.31 billion yuan, and introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 20.08 billion yuan [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's domestic switch manufacturing segment generated revenue of 109.40 billion yuan, a 20.7% increase year-on-year, with the high-voltage segment contributing 76.98 billion yuan, up 25.1% [5] - The company's gross margin improved to 22.4% in 2024, with a net margin of 9.0%, both showing year-on-year increases [4][5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.12 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15.9 for 2025, 13.5 for 2026, and 12.0 for 2027 [4][7] Industry Outlook - The investment in the national power grid is expected to exceed 650 billion yuan in 2025, continuing the trend of high investment levels in the sector [6] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing high demand for power grid construction and the recent initiatives to enhance the quality of distribution networks [6]