Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the acceleration of offshore wind development in Europe, with its domestic business expected to exceed expectations [1]. - The company has a clear development strategy, having established a presence in domestic onshore and offshore wind markets, as well as the European offshore wind market [1][6]. - The company has successfully entered the high-barrier, high-value European offshore wind market, with significant order volumes and a strong customer base [6][30]. Company Overview - Founded in 2000, the company transitioned from traditional energy equipment manufacturing to clean energy manufacturing in 2006 and was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2010 [12]. - The company primarily produces wind turbine towers and related structures, with a focus on offshore wind projects [12][17]. - As of 2024, the company reported a revenue decline of 12.6% year-on-year to 3.78 billion yuan, primarily due to a strategic reduction in domestic business with lower profitability and higher payment risks [6][21]. European Offshore Wind Market - The company has made significant strides in the European offshore wind market, having signed its first order in 2022 and accumulating a substantial order book since then [6][30]. - The total value of undisclosed European offshore wind orders is approximately 7.2 billion yuan, with a gross margin significantly higher than domestic operations [6][30]. - The European offshore wind market is expected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate of 36% from 2024 to 2027, driven by energy independence and climate goals [39][40]. Domestic Business Outlook - The domestic wind power market is projected to see a 90% increase in bidding volume in 2024, reaching 164 GW, which is expected to lead to accelerated deliveries in 2025 [34][38]. - The company’s domestic onshore wind business is anticipated to exceed expectations, with a production capacity of approximately 500,000 tons [34]. - The company’s operational projects, including a 250 MW wind project, are expected to contribute stable profits [35]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 804 million yuan and 948 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20X and 17X [6][7].
大金重工(002487):前瞻布局受益欧洲海风发展提速,国内业务有望超预期