wanhua(SH:600309) EBSCN·2025-04-15 09:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was impacted by asset impairment and a decline in gross margin, with a focus on polyurethane expansion and the improvement of the petrochemical industry chain [1][6] - The company is expected to solidify its market position as a global leader in the polyurethane industry with ongoing capacity expansions [8][9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 182.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.49% to 13.03 billion yuan [5][9] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 34.47 billion yuan, down 19.49% year-on-year, and net profit was 1.94 billion yuan, down 52.83% year-on-year [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 43.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.70% year-on-year, while net profit was 3.08 billion yuan, down 25.87% year-on-year [5][7] Business Segment Performance - In 2024, the polyurethane segment generated revenue of 75.8 billion yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year, while the petrochemical segment generated 72.5 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year [6] - The fine chemicals and new materials segment achieved revenue of 28.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.6% [6] - In Q1 2025, the polyurethane segment's revenue was 18.4 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year, while the petrochemical segment's revenue decreased by 11.8% to 16.3 billion yuan [7] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Developments - By the end of 2024, the company had an MDI capacity of 3.8 million tons/year and TDI capacity of 1.11 million tons/year, with further expansions planned [8] - The company is enhancing its petrochemical business through the construction of integrated facilities and strategic partnerships to ensure stable raw material supply [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in gross margins and significant asset impairment provisions, the company's earnings forecast for 2025-2026 has been revised downwards [9] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 14.79 billion yuan, 17.20 billion yuan, and 19.39 billion yuan respectively [10][9]