CSCEC(SH:601668) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-04-16 01:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company experienced a significant improvement in cash flow and an increase in dividend payout ratio, despite facing pressure on Q4 performance due to increased impairment losses and reduced investment income [1][2] - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 11.2 billion, maintaining stability in dividend payout [1] - The construction business structure continues to optimize, with strong performance in energy engineering and water infrastructure sectors [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2,187.148 billion, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461.87 billion, down 14.9% year-on-year [5] - The quarterly breakdown shows revenue growth of +5% in Q1, +1% in Q2, but declines of -14% in Q3 and -6% in Q4 [1] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 9.86%, a slight increase of 0.02 percentage points year-on-year [2] Business Segments - Revenue from construction, infrastructure, and real estate segments for 2024 was 13,218 billion, 5,509 billion, and 3,062 billion respectively, with declines of 5%, 1%, and 1% year-on-year [1] - The construction sector saw an increase in public building orders, with the share of residential business decreasing from 25% to 22% [1] Cash Flow and Investment - The company reported a net inflow of operating cash flow of 15.774 billion, an increase of 4.7 billion year-on-year, and a significant reduction in net outflow from investment activities to 2.511 billion, down 24 billion year-on-year [3] - The total net cash inflow from operating and investment activities was 13.3 billion, an increase of 28.7 billion year-on-year [3] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 44.8 billion, 45.4 billion, and 45.6 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.09, 1.10, and 1.10 [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 5.0 for 2025 [3]