Eastroc Beverage(605499) 华鑫证券·2025-04-16 06:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Dongpeng Beverage [2][10] Core Views - The company continues to deliver strong performance with revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 reaching 4.848 billion and 980 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 39.2% and 47.6% [6] - The decline in raw material prices has improved profitability, with gross margin and net margin at 44% and 20%, respectively, showing increases of 1.7 and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company is expanding its product categories and geographic reach, with significant growth in its direct sales and online channels [8] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 total revenue and net profit were 4.848 billion and 980 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 39.2% and 47.6% [6] - Gross margin and net margin improved to 44% and 20%, with increases of 1.7 and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Operating cash flow decreased by 26.5% year-on-year, totaling 631 million yuan [6] Product Performance - Revenue from energy drinks, electrolyte drinks, and other beverages for Q1 2025 were 3.901 billion, 570 million, and 375 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 26%, 261%, and 73% respectively [7] - The main product, Dongpeng Special Drink, continues to grow rapidly, while the new product "Brew Water" is in a high-growth phase [7] Channel and Regional Growth - Revenue from distribution, direct sales, and online channels for Q1 2025 were 4.283 billion, 457 million, and 104 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 37%, 63%, and 54% respectively [8] - Revenue from the Guangxi and Guangdong regions and other regions were 1.503 billion and 3.342 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 24% and 48% respectively [8] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to continue increasing its market share in the energy drink sector, with electrolyte water becoming a second growth curve [10] - The EPS forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 8.67, 11.20, and 14.18 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 31, 24, and 19 times [10]