wanhua(600309) Minsheng Securities·2025-04-16 06:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported a sales revenue of 182.07 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.83%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.49% to 13.03 billion yuan [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a sales revenue of 43.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6.70%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 26.33% to 3.04 billion yuan [1]. - The company continues to see steady growth in product sales across its three main segments: polyurethane, petrochemicals, and fine chemicals, with significant year-on-year increases in 2024 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total sales revenue of 182.07 billion yuan, with a net profit of 13.03 billion yuan, reflecting a decline in profitability [1][6]. - The forecast for 2025 estimates a revenue increase to 228.09 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 12.19 billion yuan, indicating a continued decline in profitability [6][10]. Product Sales - The company reported strong sales growth in 2024, with polyurethane sales reaching 5.64 million tons (up 15.34%), petrochemical sales at 5.47 million tons (up 15.89%), and fine chemicals and new materials at 2.04 million tons (up 27.67%) [2]. - In Q1 2025, sales volumes showed mixed results, with polyurethane at 1.45 million tons (up 8.09%), while petrochemicals and fine chemicals experienced slight declines [2]. Research and Development - The company has made significant advancements in R&D, optimizing production processes and launching new technologies, which have helped maintain its competitive edge in the global market for MDI and TDI products [3]. - New production facilities have been established, including the world's largest single-unit capacity for POCHP, enhancing the company's production capabilities [3]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic chemical industry, with plans to expand its MDI capacity to 4.5 million tons by 2026 and TDI capacity to 1.44 million tons by mid-2025 [4]. - The investment outlook remains positive, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 estimated at 12.19 billion, 13.64 billion, and 15.99 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a recovery trend in profitability [4][6].