BROS(601339) 国信证券·2025-04-17 02:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][35] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 15% in 2024, with a non-recurring net profit turning positive, reaching 2.20 billion yuan compared to a loss of 0.21 billion yuan in 2023 [1][4] - The company is the second-largest color-spun yarn manufacturer globally, benefiting from an increase in color-spun yarn sales and improved capacity utilization in Vietnam [1][4] - The gross margin is projected to improve by 1.55 percentage points to 10.20% in 2024, driven by order recovery and a higher proportion of color-spun yarn [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is expected to generate operating revenue of 79.41 billion yuan, an increase of 14.9%, with yarn sales reaching 242,300 tons, up 11.8% [1][4] - The gross profit margin is anticipated to rise to 10.20%, with a significant reduction in expense ratio by 2.01 percentage points to 7.05% [1][4] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.6 yuan per 10 shares, with a payout ratio of 95.05% [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q4, the revenue was 1.867 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, but the gross margin decreased due to additional wage provisions for the Vietnam factory [2] - The net profit for Q4 was a loss of 2.49 million yuan, although the loss was narrower compared to previous periods [2] Business Segments - Color-spun yarn revenue increased by 29.1% to 40.56 billion yuan, accounting for 55% of total revenue, while gross margin for this segment was 11.22% [3] - The Vietnam base contributed significantly, with revenue of 59.97 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.04 billion yuan, reflecting a 299.9% increase [3] Future Outlook - The company expects continued improvement in profitability due to higher color-spun yarn sales and operational efficiency in Vietnam, despite potential short-term disruptions from tariff uncertainties [4][35] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 4.6 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.4 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a growth of 12.8%, 16.7%, and 19.1% [4][35]