Orient Securities(SH:600958) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-04-18 00:23Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected increase in stock price relative to the market index [4][30]. Core Insights - The company achieved operating revenue of 19.19 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.35 billion yuan, up 21.66% year-on-year [4][6]. - The report highlights a significant increase in investment income (including fair value changes) by 81.16% year-on-year, which has positively impacted overall performance despite pressures in other business segments [4][21]. - The company’s brokerage, investment banking, and asset management businesses faced challenges, with brokerage fees down 9.71% and investment banking fees down 22.65% year-on-year [4][11][13]. - The debt financing business showed robust growth, with a total underwriting scale of 520.44 billion yuan, up 35.61% year-on-year, while equity financing was heavily impacted, with a 89.71% drop in underwriting amounts [4][13]. - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 0.39 yuan and 0.44 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 9.33 yuan and 9.63 yuan [4][30]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 191.90 billion yuan and a net profit of 33.50 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share of 0.37 yuan [4][6]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 4.14%, an increase of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year [4][6]. Business Segments - Investment income (including fair value changes) accounted for 28.1% of total revenue, reflecting a strategic shift towards investment activities [7]. - The brokerage business saw a decline in net income, while the asset management segment faced significant pressure, with fees down 33.91% year-on-year [4][15]. Market Position - The company’s two-way financing balance reached a historical high, with a year-on-year increase of 32.22%, indicating a strong market position [4][23]. - The report notes a significant reduction in stock pledge risks, with a 50.89% decrease in stock pledge repurchase balances [4][26]. Future Projections - The company is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 202.04 billion yuan and 217.43 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [5][33]. - The report suggests that the company’s investment strategies and market positioning will support continued performance improvement in the coming years [4][30].