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钧达股份(002865):经营环比减亏,长线资金增持

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.875 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -106 million for Q1 2025, indicating a reduction in losses compared to the previous quarter [5]. - The company has a leading position in battery shipments, achieving 7.15 GW in Q1 2025, all of which are TOPCon batteries. The overseas sales ratio increased to approximately 58% in Q1 2025, up from 23.85% in 2024, with significant market shares in India, Turkey, and Europe [9]. - The gross margin improved to 5.88% in Q1 2025, benefiting from price increases in battery cells and cost reduction efforts [9]. - Long-term borrowings increased by around 900 million, reflecting confidence from banks in the company's financials, while operating cash flow was -308 million due to increased inventory levels [9]. - The company is expanding its global footprint, with plans to invest in a 5 GW high-efficiency battery production capacity in Oman, expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [9]. Financial Data Summary - For 2024, total revenue is projected at 9.952 billion, with a net profit of -591 million. By 2025, revenue is expected to decrease to 9.327 billion, with a turnaround to a net profit of 705 million in 2025E [15]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to improve significantly, reaching 1.982 billion in 2025E [15]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to recover to 3.07 in 2025E, with a net profit margin of 7.6% by 2025E [15].