盾安环境（002011）：2024年点评：顺利完成激励目标

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company successfully achieved its incentive targets for 2024, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit [7][9] - The revenue for 2024 reached 12.68 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.045 billion yuan, up 41.6% year-on-year [10][12] - The company expects revenue growth of 14% in 2025, 13% in 2026, and 10% in 2027, with net profit projections of 1.22 billion yuan, 1.41 billion yuan, and 1.58 billion yuan respectively [7][10] Revenue Analysis - The revenue from refrigeration parts increased by 14% year-on-year, driven by national subsidies and a release in downstream air conditioning demand [9] - The automotive thermal management segment saw a significant revenue increase of 72% year-on-year, with expectations for continued growth due to major client contributions [9] - Revenue from refrigeration equipment decreased by 9% year-on-year, but is expected to recover with a focus on energy storage in 2025 [9] Profit Analysis - The company reported a gross margin of 18.2% for 2024, with a slight decrease expected in subsequent years [10][12] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 8.2%, with projections for gradual improvement in the following years [13] - The company’s EBITDA for 2024 was 1.448 billion yuan, with expectations for growth in the coming years [12] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 14.51 billion yuan in 2025, 16.32 billion yuan in 2026, and 17.96 billion yuan in 2027 [10][12] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.22 billion yuan, increasing to 1.58 billion yuan by 2027 [10][12] - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 10.92 in 2024 to 7.71 by 2027, indicating potential for improved valuation [10][12]