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三一重工:2024年报点评:“全球化、数智化、低碳化”战略持续发力,行业复苏龙头盈利修复-20250418

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [32]. Core Views - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 783.83 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 59.75 billion yuan, up 31.98% year-on-year [7][8]. - The company's strategic focus on "globalization, digitalization, and low-carbonization" has yielded significant results, with international business revenue reaching 485.13 billion yuan, a 12.15% increase, and accounting for 63.98% of total revenue [10][15]. - The report highlights a recovery in the excavator sales, with a 22.8% year-on-year increase in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a new cycle of equipment updates in the construction machinery industry [14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit margin of 26.43%, a slight decrease of 1.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 7.83%, an increase of 1.54 percentage points [13]. - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 148.14 billion yuan, showing a substantial increase of 159.53% compared to the previous year [8]. Business Segments - Excavation machinery sales reached 303.74 billion yuan, up 9.91% year-on-year, maintaining the top position in the domestic market for 14 consecutive years [11]. - Concrete machinery sales were 143.68 billion yuan, down 6.18%, but the company remains the global leader in this segment [11]. - The road machinery segment saw sales of 30.01 billion yuan, with a growth of 20.75%, particularly strong in overseas markets [11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has established a robust international market presence with over 400 overseas subsidiaries and partnerships, achieving significant revenue growth in various regions [15]. - The focus on low-carbon products has led to a 23% increase in revenue from new energy products, totaling 40.25 billion yuan in 2024 [10]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 908.25 billion yuan, 1,046.16 billion yuan, and 1,196.23 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits expected to be 81.97 billion yuan, 100.77 billion yuan, and 120.71 billion yuan [16].