CAIP(603035) 国投证券·2025-04-19 12:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changshu Automotive Trim is "Buy-A" with a target price of 17.64 CNY for the next six months [7][12]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved significant revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by its core customers and the expansion of its new energy vehicle (NEV) business [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain high growth rates due to the continuous ramp-up of NEV clients and the establishment of new production bases [5][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.667 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 23.23%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 425 million CNY, down 22.08% [1][2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.338 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.31%, with a net profit of 88 million CNY, down 16.03% [1][4]. Business Drivers - The growth in revenue is primarily attributed to strong sales from core customer Chery, which sold 2.4689 million vehicles in 2024, up 38.62% year-on-year [2]. - The NEV segment saw significant growth, with revenue from NEV models reaching 2.241 billion CNY in 2024, a 48.11% increase, accounting for 39.54% of total revenue [2]. Cost and Profitability - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 15.53%, a decrease of 4.92 percentage points, mainly due to lower margins during the ramp-up phase of new factories [2]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 14.96%, a slight decrease of 0.36 percentage points compared to the previous year [4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued high growth driven by the expansion of NEV clients and the establishment of new production bases in Hefei, Zhaoqing, and Anqing [5][12]. - The company is also expanding its international presence and has made breakthroughs in its exterior parts business, entering the supplier system for BMW [12]. Valuation Metrics - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 560 million CNY, 690 million CNY, and 840 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9.4, 7.6, and 6.2 [12][13].