SANY(SH:600031) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-04-20 12:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SANY Heavy Industry [4][7] Core Views - SANY Heavy Industry's 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 78.383 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, and a net profit of 5.975 billion yuan, up 31.98% year-on-year [1][2][4] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the construction machinery industry, benefiting from both domestic recovery and strong international market performance [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 78.383 billion yuan, with Q4 revenue reaching 20.023 billion yuan, a 12.0% increase year-on-year. International market revenue was particularly strong, contributing 48.513 billion yuan, a 12.15% increase, accounting for 63.98% of total revenue [1] - Profit: The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 5.975 billion yuan, reflecting a 31.98% increase year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 7.8%, up 1.54 percentage points [2] - Gross Margin: The overall gross margin improved to 26.63%, with significant improvements in excavators and cranes. The gross margin for excavators was 31.82%, up 0.96 percentage points, and for cranes, it was 27.23%, up 4.23 percentage points [2] - Cash Flow: The net operating cash flow reached a historical high of 14.814 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 159.53% year-on-year, surpassing the previous peak in 2020 [3] Cost Management Summary - Expense Ratios: The company effectively controlled its expense ratios, with a sales expense ratio of 6.97%, down 1.43 percentage points, and a research and development expense ratio of 6.86%, down 1.06 percentage points [3] - Inventory and Receivables Management: The company demonstrated excellent operational capability, with inventory turnover days reduced to 125 days, down 9.3 days year-on-year, and accounts receivable turnover days reduced to 115 days, down 5.9 days [3] Future Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 9.485 billion yuan, 13.651 billion yuan, and 18.497 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 58.7%, 43.9%, and 35.5% [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17, 12, and 9 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating potential for further appreciation [4]