百亚股份（003006）：Q1业绩超预期，看好长期成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company's Q1 performance exceeded expectations with a revenue growth of 30% and a net profit growth of 27% year-on-year [1][6] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 42.85 billion, 54.13 billion, and 66.04 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][6] - The report highlights the company's successful expansion into peripheral markets, with a remarkable 125% year-on-year revenue growth in these regions [1][6] - The company is focusing on high-end product offerings, which are increasingly contributing to its revenue [1][6] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 9.95 billion and a net profit of 1.31 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.1% and 27.27% respectively [1][6] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 53.32%, showing a slight decline of 1.04 percentage points year-on-year due to changes in channel structure and revenue mix [1][6] - The company’s operating cash flow showed a significant decline, with a net cash flow of 6.91 million, down 92.92% year-on-year, attributed to factors such as downstream payment terms and expense timing [1][6] Financial Projections - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be 3.65 billion, 4.73 billion, and 5.93 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 32, 24, and 20 [1][2][6] - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow at rates of 33%, 52%, 32%, 26%, and 22% from 2023 to 2027 [2][9] - The report indicates a steady improvement in the company's return on equity (ROE), expected to rise from 20% in 2024 to 29.3% in 2027 [3][9] Market Position - The company has successfully regained its position as the leading brand in the sanitary napkin category on Douyin, indicating effective brand management and marketing strategies [1][6] - The report emphasizes the company's commitment to nationwide expansion and product innovation as key drivers for increasing market share [1][6]