SONGFA(SH:603268) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-04-21 03:00Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6][18] Core Viewpoints - Songfa Co., Ltd. has successfully passed the restructuring approval, aiming to become the first publicly listed civil shipbuilding company in China [1] - The acquisition of Hengli Heavy Industry is expected to enhance the company's focus on shipbuilding and high-end equipment manufacturing [1][2] - Hengli Heavy Industry ranks 4th globally in new orders received in 2024, indicating strong order backlog and production capacity [3] - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing an upward cycle due to ship replacement cycles, environmental policies, and tight capacity, which are expected to improve profitability for shipyards [4][5] Summary by Sections Restructuring and Acquisition - Songfa Co., Ltd. plans to strategically exit the daily ceramic products manufacturing sector and fully acquire Hengli Heavy Industry, which will become a wholly-owned subsidiary [1][2] - The restructuring involves significant asset swaps and issuance of shares to acquire the remaining 50% stake in Hengli Heavy Industry [2] Order and Production Capacity - Hengli Heavy Industry has a robust order backlog with 16.74 million DWT and 3.97 million CGT as of April 20, 2025, and new orders of 12.83 million DWT and 3.18 million CGT in 2024 [3] - The company has strong self-manufacturing capabilities for key components, particularly ship engines, which allows it to accept external orders starting from March 2024 [3] Industry Trends - The shipbuilding industry is currently experiencing high demand, with a notable increase in container ship orders, while other types of vessels are seeing a decline [4] - The new ship price index has shown a significant increase since 2021, currently at a historical peak, indicating a potential for continued price growth due to supply constraints and inflationary pressures [4][9] - The overall shipbuilding capacity is nearing saturation, but the number of active shipyards and delivery volumes have decreased, which may lead to sustained high prices for new ships [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the shipbuilding sector is poised for growth, with leading companies expected to benefit from high demand for large and high-end vessels [7] - Key recommended companies include China Shipbuilding, China Heavy Industry, and Songfa Co., Ltd. [7]