VENUSTECH(SZ:002439) Guoyuan Securities·2025-04-21 03:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5][7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 26.44% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue of 3.315 billion yuan. However, it is projected to achieve profitability in the first quarter of 2025, with expected revenue between 600 million and 680 million yuan [2]. - The company is increasing its investment in AI, with R&D expenditures reaching 980 million yuan in 2024, a 14.95% increase year-on-year. This investment supports the development of security models and intelligent applications in collaboration with China Mobile [3]. - The company has deepened its collaboration with China Mobile, achieving 1.083 billion yuan in related transaction sales in 2024, with over 70% coming from joint efforts in government and enterprise security business [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -226 million yuan, with a projected recovery to a net profit of 1.68 million yuan in 2025. The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.19 yuan in 2024 to 0.14 yuan in 2025 [5][8]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.525 billion, 3.789 billion, and 4.079 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 168 million, 271 million, and 397 million yuan [5][8].