福耀玻璃（600660）：毛利率环比修复，新产能释放好于预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Fuyao Glass Industry Group with a target price of Rmb62.27, down from the previous target of Rmb63.05 [2][6]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 results show a revenue of Rmb997 million, a year-on-year increase of 12.2%, and a gross profit of Rmb3.508 billion, reflecting a 7.8% year-on-year growth. The gross profit margin stands at 35.40% [4][15]. - The automotive glass business outperformed the industry, with revenue growth of 12.16% year-on-year and a sales volume increase of 7.84% [5][16]. - The competitive landscape is improving, with capacity expansion supporting market share gains. The company is expected to benefit from declining raw material and freight costs, which will help offset the impact of new capacity ramp-up [6][17]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Fuyao Glass are as follows: Rmb39.252 billion for 2024, Rmb45.217 billion for 2025, Rmb51.677 billion for 2026, and Rmb58.540 billion for 2027, indicating a growth rate of 18%, 15%, 14%, and 13% respectively [3][10]. - Net profit estimates are Rmb7.498 billion for 2024, Rmb8.553 billion for 2025, Rmb10.154 billion for 2026, and Rmb11.780 billion for 2027, with growth rates of 33%, 14%, 19%, and 16% respectively [3][10]. - The diluted EPS is projected to be Rmb2.87 for 2024, Rmb3.28 for 2025, Rmb3.89 for 2026, and Rmb4.51 for 2027 [3][10]. Operational Insights - The company has successfully ramped up new capacity, including 1.5 million sets of high-value-added products in the U.S. and additional projects in China, which are expected to enhance overall production efficiency and market presence [6][17]. - The gross profit margin is expected to recover throughout the year, benefiting from lower costs of raw materials and shipping [5][16].