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浙江鼎力(603338):业绩短期波动,全球竞争力仍旧突出

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 47.84 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 41.01 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 7.799 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.56%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.629 billion CNY, a decrease of 12.76% year-on-year [1]. - The domestic market is transitioning from a growth phase to a structural adjustment phase, while the overseas market continues to show good growth [1][2]. - The company’s product structure is improving, with significant revenue contributions from different types of aerial work platforms, particularly the boom-type series, which has become a key growth driver [1][3]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s total revenue from domestic and international sales was 1.649 billion CNY and 5.523 billion CNY, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -22.23% and +43.83% [2]. - The gross profit margin for the main business was 35.04%, a decrease of 1.75 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the consolidation of CMEC's lower-margin revenue [2]. - The net profit margin was 20.89%, down 8.7 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased expenses following the CMEC merger [2]. Global Competitiveness and Product Development - The company is enhancing its global competitiveness through a continuous globalization strategy and has successfully completed projects to increase production capacity for large intelligent aerial platforms [3]. - The company has introduced a range of differentiated and high-quality new products, expanding into new application scenarios such as large shipyards and rail transit [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of 9.07 billion CNY, 10.25 billion CNY, and 11.59 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 16.3%, 13%, and 13.1%, respectively [9]. - Net profits are projected to be 1.86 billion CNY, 2.23 billion CNY, and 2.67 billion CNY for the same years, with growth rates of 14.4%, 19.9%, and 19.5% [9].