NJBK(601009) 申万宏源证券·2025-04-22 09:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank [6] Core Views - Nanjing Bank's revenue growth in 2024 and Q1 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by significant increases in net interest income, with revenue growth of 11.3% and 6.5% year-on-year respectively [6] - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with non-performing loan ratios stable at 0.83% and a provision coverage ratio of 324% [6] - The report highlights the bank's focus on retail lending and credit growth, with a notable increase in loan issuance in key sectors such as technology and green finance [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million) is projected to grow from 45,159.51 in 2023 to 52,873.78 in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.24% in 2023 and 11.32% in 2024 [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 18,502.08 in 2023 to 21,788.20 in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.51% in 2023 and 9.05% in 2024 [5] - The report anticipates a steady decline in the price-to-earnings ratio from 6.21 in 2023 to 5.59 in 2025E, indicating improved valuation [5] Loan Growth and Structure - Nanjing Bank's loan growth is projected to remain robust, with a year-on-year increase of 14.3% in Q4 2024 and 14.6% in Q1 2025, driven primarily by corporate lending [6][10] - The bank's loan issuance strategy focuses on key areas such as technology, green finance, and inclusive finance, with over 50% of new loans expected to be allocated to Shanghai and Beijing branches [9][11] Interest Margin and Cost of Liabilities - The net interest margin is expected to stabilize, with a slight increase in Q1 2025 to 1.44%, supported by a decrease in the cost of liabilities [8][13] - The report notes a decline in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities, which is projected to enhance the bank's profitability [13] Asset Quality and Risk Management - Nanjing Bank's non-performing loan ratio has remained stable at 0.83%, with proactive measures taken to manage asset quality [8] - The report indicates that the bank's focus on asset disposal has contributed to maintaining a leading position in asset quality within the industry [8]