SRBC(600039) 长江证券·2025-04-24 02:21Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [11] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a total revenue of 107.24 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 6.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 7.21 billion yuan, down 19.92% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is estimated at 6.34 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.69% year-on-year [2][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue is expected to decline due to a slowdown in domestic project advancement, with the engineering construction segment generating 92.95 billion yuan, down 10.53% year-on-year. The highway investment and operation business is projected to earn 2.88 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.96% year-on-year. The total number of newly awarded projects is 524, amounting to approximately 138.3 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% decline year-on-year [13] - The overall gross margin for the company is anticipated to be 15.68%, down 2.47 percentage points year-on-year, with the engineering construction gross margin decreasing by 2.41 percentage points and the highway investment operation margin declining by 2.85 percentage points. However, margins in mining, new materials, and clean energy sectors have improved [13] - The company recorded a net cash inflow from operating activities of 3.43 billion yuan, with a cash collection ratio of 90.07%, an increase of 6.44 percentage points year-on-year. The total dividend payout for 2024 is approximately 360 million yuan, representing about 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [13] Future Outlook - The demand for infrastructure in Sichuan province is robust, with the company expected to see stable growth in performance. In June 2024, Sichuan province announced 36 highway projects with a total investment of approximately 840 billion yuan. The company has successfully secured several projects, totaling over 260 billion yuan in investment, which lays a solid foundation for future development [13] - The dividend payout ratio is expected to increase to 60% from 2025 to 2027, with a projected dividend yield exceeding 6.5% if the company's performance surpasses 8 billion yuan in 2025 [13]