CHINA PET FOODS(SZ:002891) HTSC·2025-04-24 02:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 58.31 RMB [7][8]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong growth in its proprietary brand, with a significant increase in revenue and profit margins. The 2024 revenue reached 4.465 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 19.15%, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was 394 million RMB, up 68.89% year-on-year [1][2]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.1 billion RMB, representing a 25% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 91 million RMB, which is a 62% increase compared to the previous year [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the release of production capacity in overseas factories and sustained high growth in its proprietary brand, indicating potential for revenue and profit growth in 2025 [1][4]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the company achieved 3.05 billion RMB in export revenue, a 15% year-on-year increase, while domestic sales reached 1.41 billion RMB, a 30% increase, with the domestic sales proportion rising from 29% to 32% [2]. - The main products, including staple food and snacks, generated revenues of 1.11 billion RMB and 3.13 billion RMB respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 92% and 28% [2]. - Direct sales channels experienced rapid growth, with a revenue increase of 42% year-on-year [2]. Profitability and Margin Improvement - The gross margin for the first quarter of 2025 improved to 31.9%, an increase of 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower raw material prices and high growth in proprietary brands [3]. - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 8.83%, reflecting continuous improvement in profitability [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025 has been adjusted upwards to 430 million RMB, a 2% increase, with a target price based on a 40X price-to-earnings ratio [4]. - The report anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 40% year-on-year for domestic sales in the first quarter of 2025, supported by the performance of proprietary brands [4].