Muyuan Foods (002714) 华泰证券·2025-04-25 10:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 51.30 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company reported strong Q1 performance with a significant increase in both revenue and profit, driven by higher sales volume and improved cost management [1][2]. - The company aims for continued high-quality growth in 2025, with expected sales of 72 to 78 million market pigs, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% to 19% [3]. - The report highlights the company's focus on cost reduction and operational efficiency, with the complete cost of fattening pigs dropping to RMB 12.5 per kilogram in March 2025 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - In Q1, the company sold 22.66 million pigs, a year-on-year increase of 42% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.6% [2]. - The average profit per pig was RMB 200, significantly higher than the industry average of RMB 93, due to reduced costs [2]. Cost Management and Growth Projections - The company is expected to continue reducing costs through advancements in health management, breeding, and nutrition [3]. - The target for 2025 includes a total pig output of 72 to 78 million, with a notable increase in piglets [3]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects the company's net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be RMB 197 billion, RMB 183 billion, and RMB 472 billion respectively, with significant upward adjustments from previous estimates [4]. - The estimated price-to-book ratio for 2025 is set at 3.3x, reflecting the company's growth potential [4].