JCHX(603979) 华创证券·2025-04-25 12:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][16]. Core Insights - The company's copper business is experiencing significant growth, leading to a substantial increase in net profit for 2024. The report highlights a projected net profit of 1.584 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.59% [7]. - The report anticipates continued strong performance in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 2.193 billion yuan, a growth of 38.5% compared to 2024 [8]. - The company has expanded its resource business significantly, with a reported revenue increase of 412.85% in the resource segment for 2024 [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 9.942 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit of 1.584 billion yuan, up 53.59% [7][8]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, a 42.49% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 422 million yuan, reflecting a 54.1% growth [7]. - The company’s copper production in 2024 reached 48,700 tons, a significant increase of 158.62% year-on-year, with sales volume rising by 382.70% [7]. Business Segment Analysis - The mining service business remained stable, generating revenue of 6.54 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decline of 0.96% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.75% [7]. - The resource segment, particularly in copper and phosphate, has become a major growth driver, with phosphate production increasing by 115.65% to 350,000 tons in 2024 [7]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including the purchase of Terra Mining Pty Ltd, to enhance its international operations and business chain [7]. Future Projections - The report projects net profits of 2.402 billion yuan in 2026 and 2.753 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 9.5% and 14.6% [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong market position, with a target total market value of 32.2 billion yuan by 2025, based on a segmented valuation approach [7].