CHINA PET FOODS(002891) 中原证券·2025-04-25 12:17Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid growth in performance, with a total revenue of 4.465 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 394 million yuan, up 68.89% year-on-year [7]. - The market size for pet food continues to expand, with a reported 3,002 billion yuan in urban pet consumption in China for 2024, marking a 7.5% increase year-on-year. The penetration rates for professional dog and cat food have also improved [7]. - The company's product structure is continuously optimizing, with significant growth in pet staple food sales, which increased by 91.85% year-on-year, contributing to a better profit margin [7]. - The company's performance is driven by both domestic and international markets, with strong brand recognition and successful marketing strategies enhancing its market position [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.101 billion yuan, a 25.41% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 91 million yuan, up 62.13% year-on-year. The operating cash flow was 496 million yuan, reflecting an 11.02% increase [7]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 28.16%, with a net profit margin of 9.33%. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin improved to 31.87% [7]. Market Trends - The pet food industry in China is experiencing a shift towards domestic brands, with the top five brands in the Tmall pet food category being domestic, and their market share increasing [7]. - The overall pet food production in China reached 1.599 million tons in 2024, with a 9.3% year-on-year growth, indicating resilience in the pet food sector despite broader industry challenges [7]. Product Structure - The sales revenue from pet snacks was 2.471 billion yuan, accounting for 55.34% of total sales, while staple food sales reached 1.107 billion yuan, representing a 24.78% share [7]. - The company’s sales model includes OEM, distribution, and direct sales, with respective revenues of 2.616 billion yuan, 1.195 billion yuan, and 654 million yuan, showing diverse revenue streams [7].