Tesla(US:TSLA) Guotou Securities·2025-04-25 15:37Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy-A" to the company [6]. Core Views - The company's automotive business is under short-term pressure, with a focus on the launch of new models and the progress of new businesses like Optimus [1][3]. - The energy business is experiencing rapid growth, benefiting from the production of the Shanghai energy storage factory [2]. - The company is transitioning from a traditional electric vehicle manufacturer to an AI-driven technology company, with key initiatives including FSD, Robotaxi, and the humanoid robot Optimus [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of $19.335 billion, a decrease of 9.23% year-over-year, and a net profit of $420 million, down 63.29% year-over-year [1]. - Automotive sales revenue was $12.925 billion, down 21.5% year-over-year, with vehicle deliveries of 337,000 units, a decline of 13% year-over-year [1]. - The automotive gross margin was 16.2%, with a margin of 12.5% excluding credit revenue, both showing a slight decrease [1]. Business Segments - The energy business generated revenue of $2.73 billion in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 66.97%, with storage deployment reaching 10.4 GWh, up 154% [2]. - The company plans to launch a more affordable vehicle in the first half of 2025, which is expected to expand its customer base and boost sales [1][3]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $107.2 billion, $131.5 billion, and $162.1 billion, respectively, with net profits of $7.54 billion, $8.89 billion, and $11.59 billion [3][10]. - The company is expected to achieve a valuation of $857.28 billion by 2025, with a target price of $266.21 per share over the next six months [3][12].