Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook for the company's growth and profitability in the coming years [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company has shown stable growth in its core electric two-wheeler business, with a revenue of CNY 5.072 billion in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 117 million, down 19.8% [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from new policies in 2025, including new national standards and trade-in programs, which may create a favorable supply-demand dynamic [2]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product lines, including electric assist bicycles and light sports products under the LYVA brand, targeting high-income consumers [4]. - The company is also developing a new ecosystem involving battery swapping and rental services, aiming to create an integrated system for rental, swapping, and sales [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 13.1%, showing resilience despite a decline in overall sales and average selling prices [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow was negative at CNY 0.03 million in 2024, with a cash and cash equivalents balance of CNY 5.55 billion at year-end [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 6.598 billion, CNY 7.682 billion, and CNY 8.763 billion, respectively, with expected net profits of CNY 171 million, CNY 201 million, and CNY 238 million [7][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from CNY 0.30 in 2024 to CNY 0.56 in 2027 [7][9]. Growth Strategy Summary - The company plans to enhance its production capacity, with an annual capacity exceeding 5 million units by the end of 2024 and an expected increase to 2 million units per year by 2026 [2]. - The company has over 1,400 distributors and more than 12,800 offline stores, indicating a strong distribution network [2]. - The strategic focus on the LYVA brand and the development of a battery swapping and rental ecosystem reflects the company's commitment to diversifying its growth avenues [4].
绿源集团控股（02451）：电动两轮车稳健增长，积极布局新成长曲线