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宝立食品(603170):需求逐步改善,增长势能修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.651 billion yuan for 2024, an increase of 11.91% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.33 billion yuan, down 22.52% year-on-year [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 669 million yuan, up 7.18% year-on-year, with a net profit of 58 million yuan, down 4.19% year-on-year [2]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in revenue growth driven by improved downstream demand and product structure [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.651 billion yuan, with a net profit of 233 million yuan, reflecting a decline in profitability [9]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 35.52%, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.57 percentage points, indicating a stabilization in margins due to an increase in customized product demand [4]. Product and Market Dynamics - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a significant increase in revenue across all product lines, driven by improved demand in the restaurant sector [3]. - The company has been expanding its distribution channels, adding 44 new distributors in 2024, which is expected to enhance market reach [3]. Future Projections - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit, with projections of 280 million yuan for 2025, representing a growth rate of 22% [5]. - The expected net profit for 2026 and 2027 is 330 million yuan and 370 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 16% and 13% [5].