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绿源集团控股:电动两轮车稳健增长,积极布局新成长曲线

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook for the company's growth and profitability in the coming years [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company has shown stable growth in its core business of electric two-wheelers, with a revenue of CNY 50.72 billion in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was CNY 1.17 billion, down 19.8% [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from new policies in 2025, including new national standards and trade-in programs, which may create a favorable supply-demand dynamic [2]. - The company is focusing on expanding its product lines, including electric assist bicycles and light sports products under the LYVA brand, targeting high-income consumers [4]. - The company is also developing a new ecosystem involving battery swapping and rental services, aiming to create an integrated system for rental, exchange, and sales [4]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue was CNY 50.72 billion, with a net profit of CNY 1.17 billion, resulting in a net profit margin of 2.3% [1][3]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 13.1%, showing resilience despite a decline in overall sales and average selling prices [3]. - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was negative CNY 0.03 billion, with a cash and cash equivalents balance of CNY 5.55 billion at year-end [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 65.98 billion, CNY 76.82 billion, and CNY 87.63 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to rise to CNY 1.71 billion, CNY 2.01 billion, and CNY 2.38 billion [7][9]. Growth Potential - The company plans to enhance its production capacity, with an annual capacity exceeding 5 million units by the end of 2024 and an expected increase to 2 million units by 2026 [2]. - The company is strategically positioning itself in the high-end electric assist bicycle market, leveraging its proprietary technology and manufacturing capabilities [4]. - The company aims to transition its user operation model from a rough approach to a more refined one, supported by a nationwide smart store network [4].