First(SH:603806) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-04-27 01:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 3.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 401 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year but up 710% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations [2]. - The increase in film prices has led to a recovery in profitability, showcasing the company's leading position in the industry despite challenges. The company shipped 630 million square meters of photovoltaic film in Q1, a 9% year-on-year decline, primarily due to weaker component production. However, price increases in December 2024 and March 2025 have improved the gross margin to 13.10%, a 1.48 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company's overseas production capacity is set to expand significantly, with the second phase in Thailand expected to add 250 million square meters, bringing total overseas capacity to 600 million square meters. This expansion is anticipated to enhance profitability and solidify the company's leading position as competitors face losses [3]. - The electronic materials business is experiencing rapid growth, with the introduction of photosensitive dry film products to major global electronic circuit companies. The recovery and transformation of the electronic circuit industry are expected to drive significant growth in this segment [4]. - The company has prudently accounted for credit impairment provisions, which positively impacted net profit by 108 million yuan in Q1 due to a combination of reversals and provisions [4]. Financial Projections - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.74 billion, 2.02 billion, and 2.36 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 18, 16, and 13 times for these years, reflecting a strong competitive position and growth potential in the electronic materials sector [5][9].