HOLSIN(SH:603909) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-04-27 03:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected PE valuations of 18.1x, 18.0x, and 14.5x for the years 2025-2027 respectively [5]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 revenue was 1.54 billion RMB, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 20.2 million RMB, down 9.6% year-on-year [2][3]. - New contract amounts increased significantly, with a total of 2.81 billion RMB in new contracts signed by the end of March 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 171.7% [3]. - The parent company actively acquired land, with a total land acquisition amount of 20.7 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a substantial increase from 4.3 billion RMB in the same period last year [3]. - Operating cash flow was under pressure, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -263 million RMB, a decrease of 280.1% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced receivables from construction projects [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 1.54 billion RMB, down 5.5% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 20.2 million RMB, down 9.6% year-on-year; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 18.65 million RMB, down 8.7% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 129 million RMB, 129 million RMB, and 161 million RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.9%, 0.3%, and 24.5% respectively [5]. Contract and Project Development - The company signed new contracts worth 2.81 billion RMB by the end of March 2025, with construction contracts accounting for 2.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 249.9% [3]. - The parent company’s land acquisition activities have significantly improved, ranking fourth in the industry for land acquisition in Q1 2025 [3]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company reported a negative operating cash flow of -263 million RMB in Q1 2025, primarily due to decreased cash inflows from construction projects and increased costs [4]. - The report anticipates that the implementation of special bonds and increased local debt will help accelerate the recovery of receivables and improve asset quality and cash flow [4].