Wintrue Holding(002539) 国信证券·2025-04-27 08:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][27][32] Core Views - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.712 billion yuan (up 15.28% year-on-year) and net profit of 254 million yuan (up 18.99 year-on-year) [1][8] - The company plans to invest in a green chemical new energy materials project in Guigang, Guangxi, to fill the capacity gap in South China, which is expected to enhance profitability and risk resistance [2][26] - The prices of key products such as compound fertilizers, monoammonium phosphate, and yellow phosphorus have increased, contributing to the company's performance, with expectations for a slight price increase trend in Q2 2025 [2][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 11.69% and 4.56%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases [1][8] - The company’s non-recurring net profit was 250 million yuan, a substantial increase of 61.44% year-on-year [1][8] - The company’s revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 8.53 billion yuan, 9.72 billion yuan, and 11.19 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.71 yuan, 0.80 yuan, and 0.93 yuan [3][27] Market Trends - The average market price for chloride-based compound fertilizers was 2,394 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, reflecting a 2.48% increase from the previous quarter [2][19] - The average price for monoammonium phosphate was 3,126 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.94% [2][13] - Yellow phosphorus prices averaged 23,283 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, with a 0.84% increase [2][24] Project Development - The planned project in Guigang will include the construction of various facilities with a total capacity of 1.2 million tons of high-efficiency compound fertilizers, 2 million tons of synthetic ammonia, and other chemical products [2][26] - This project aims to expand the company's production scale and improve its competitive position in the market [2][26] Industry Outlook - The phosphate chemical industry is expected to maintain a high price level due to the scarcity of resources and increasing demand in new sectors [12] - The company has established a complete industrial chain from upstream phosphate resources to downstream nitrogen fertilizers, enhancing its market position [3][27]