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科思股份:2024年报及2025年一季报点评:短期业绩承压,看好新品放量驱动长期成长-20250427
300856COSMOS(300856) 东吴证券·2025-04-27 08:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to factors such as inventory adjustments and price changes, but long-term growth is expected to be driven by the launch of new products [8] - The company is a global leader in cosmetic raw materials, and while 2024's performance is affected by the downstream inventory cycle, the penetration of new sunscreen agents is a long-term industry trend [8] - The company has sufficient capacity reserves and is actively expanding production, particularly in Malaysia, which will enhance its risk resistance and internationalization [8] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 22.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.62 billion yuan, down 23.33% [8] - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 is expected to be 44.40% and 34.04%, respectively, reflecting a decline due to price adjustments in sunscreen products [8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 1.66 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.61 [1][9]