MYSE(SH:601615) HTSC·2025-04-27 08:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.58 RMB [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.158 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 346 million RMB, down 8.12% year-on-year. The fourth quarter revenue was 6.922 billion RMB, showing a decline both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The report highlights the company's strong position in the offshore wind sector, particularly in Europe, where policy support is expected to drive significant growth in installations. The company has a leading position in offshore wind and is well-positioned to benefit from high demand in this area [1][3]. - The company is expected to see a substantial increase in offshore wind shipments due to ongoing projects in key regions such as Guangdong and Jiangsu, with a strong order backlog anticipated to support revenue growth [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2024, with a forecasted recovery in subsequent years, projecting revenues of 38.101 billion RMB in 2025, 48.817 billion RMB in 2026, and 53.871 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 40.29%, 28.13%, and 10.35% respectively [5]. - The net profit is expected to rebound significantly, with projections of 2.206 billion RMB in 2025, 3.130 billion RMB in 2026, and 3.992 billion RMB in 2027, indicating growth rates of 537.32%, 41.88%, and 27.54% respectively [5]. Market Outlook - The report notes that the European offshore wind market is projected to add 11.8 GW of new installations by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.6% from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to benefit the company significantly [3]. - The government has emphasized the development of offshore wind power as a strategic industry, which is likely to enhance the company's prospects in deep-sea projects, supported by its advanced floating wind turbine technology [2]. Valuation - The report adjusts the company's profit forecasts downward due to anticipated changes in electricity pricing and investment returns, projecting net profits of 2.206 billion RMB for 2025, 3.130 billion RMB for 2026, and 3.992 billion RMB for 2027. The target price is set at 13.58 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 14 times for 2025 [4][6].