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风机行业专题:国内陆风盈利修复,出口迎来放量拐点
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-14 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the wind power industry [1] Core Insights - The domestic wind power industry is expected to see long-term demand remain optimistic, with significant cost advantages in electricity generation. The share of wind power development is likely to increase under the backdrop of comprehensive new energy market entry [3][4] - The wind turbine price is expected to rebound due to multiple factors, leading to a recovery in profitability for turbine manufacturers. The competitive landscape is improving as companies focus on profitability rather than just market share [3][25] - Emerging markets are anticipated to experience a turning point in wind power demand, with significant export opportunities for Chinese wind turbines. The export capacity is projected to reach 5.2GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 42% [3][25] Summary by Sections Domestic Wind Power Industry Development - The long-term outlook for the domestic wind power industry remains positive, with a projected CAGR of 106% for the retirement of old wind turbines from 2025 to 2030, creating demand for new equipment [3][12] - The average new installed capacity for onshore wind is expected to be 120GW in 2025, while offshore wind is projected at 10GW [12] Wind Turbine Manufacturing Industry - The report highlights a recovery in profitability for wind turbine manufacturers, with a 5%-10% increase in bidding prices for turbines in 2024 [3][25] - The average new installed capacity for onshore and offshore wind turbines is expected to reach 5.9MW and 10.0MW respectively by 2024, reflecting a significant increase from 2020 [20][24] Export Market Potential - The report emphasizes the growing international market for Chinese wind turbines, with a projected CAGR of 44% from 2020 to 2024 for exports [3][25] - The report notes that the international brand influence of Chinese wind turbines has been increasing, leading to a significant rise in overseas orders [3][25] Cost Reduction and Technological Advancements - The average cost of onshore wind power is expected to decrease to 0.1-0.15 yuan/KWh by 2025, down from 1.5 yuan/KWh in 2002, representing an 88% reduction [24] - The average cost of offshore wind power is projected to decline to 0.3 yuan/KWh by 2025, down from 1.3 yuan/KWh in 2009, a 74% decrease [24] Competitive Landscape - The report indicates that the competitive landscape is improving, with a focus on fair competition and self-regulation among manufacturers to mitigate "involution" in the industry [3][42] - The concentration of the wind turbine manufacturing industry is increasing, with the top five manufacturers accounting for 75% of new installations by 2024 [33][34]
GE将建造18MW海风样机,BC领先企业二季度扭亏
Ping An Securities· 2025-07-14 03:26
皮秀 投资咨询资格编号 S1060517070004 PIXIU809@pingan.com.cn 张之尧 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524070005 zhangzhiy ao757@pingan.com.cn 电力设备及新能源 2025 年 7 月 14 日 行业周报 GE 将建造 18MW 海风样机,BC 领先企业二季度扭亏 强于大市(维持) 行情走势图 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2024/07/10 2024/12/10 2025/05/10 沪深300指数 电力设备及新能源 证券分析师 平安观点: 本周(7 月 7 日-7 月 11 日)新能源细分板块行情回顾。本周风电指数上 涨2.83%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 2.01 个百分点。截至本周,Wind 风电指数 整体市盈率(PE TTM) 为 20.29 倍。本周申万光伏设备指数 (801735.SI)上涨 7.25%,其中,申万光伏电池组件指数上涨 6.15%, 申万光伏加工设备指数上涨 4.91%,申万光伏辅材指数上涨 3.01%,当 前光伏板块市盈率约 34.05 倍。本周 储 能指 数(884790 ...
明阳智能:1-6月中标规模领跑行业 海外海风订单放量
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-11 05:08
Core Insights - The wind power industry in China has shown strong growth in the first half of the year, with a total bidding scale of over 107 GW, driven by both domestic and international markets [1][5] - Mingyang Smart Energy has emerged as a leader in the domestic wind turbine manufacturing sector, securing the largest bidding scale of 21,013.43 MW [1][3] Domestic Market Summary - The total bidding scale for domestic wind power projects reached 87,584.38 MW, with onshore projects accounting for 75,124.08 MW, offshore projects for 7,138 MW, and distributed projects for 1,184.3 MW [5] - Mingyang Smart Energy ranked second in domestic bidding with a total of 13,830.18 MW, leading in integrated projects with 1,475 MW [5] International Market Summary - Mingyang Smart Energy topped the international market with 7,183.25 MW in orders, including 3,955 MW for floating wind turbines, 2,088 MW for offshore wind turbines, and 1,140.25 MW for onshore wind turbines [3] - The company's international business spans key regions including Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East and North Africa, showcasing its global competitiveness in high-end wind power equipment [3] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape among leading wind power companies remains stable, with offshore wind and international markets acting as growth engines [7] - Mingyang Smart Energy has strong pricing power and stable supply chain costs, which may enhance its profitability through improved operational efficiency and increased self-supply of blades [7] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from advancements in floating wind turbine technology and has made significant progress in international projects in Europe and Japan [7]
聚焦“反内卷”,电新板块投资策略
2025-07-09 02:40
政府对光伏等新能源产业的政策导向从防止无序扩张转向整治,旨在解 决供需矛盾,避免地方政府因企业亏损而加重债务负担,并维持整体经 济稳定,但避免"一刀切"措施。 光伏行业经历价格战和抢装潮后,受政策及需求变化影响,市场需求承 压,三季度面临高基数效应,需政策发力以避免对 GDP 形成拖累。市场 炒作流程时间跨度约一个季度。 政府在制定反内卷政策时需平衡多方利益,包括避免"一刀切"、处理 地方政府债务、应对通缩压力,并统筹规划全国统一大市场,确保产业 发展适宜性。 2026 年至 2030 年全社会用电量复合增速预期为 4%-6%,直接影响光 伏和风电装机目标。若增速达 5%以上,光伏装机有望达 200GW 以上, 风电为 110-120GW。 风能整机行业受益于防内卷策略,盈利能力提升,如明阳智能等公司盈 利兑现,股价弹性预计可达 30%以上。港股金风科技因起步估值较低受 市场青睐。 Q&A 2024 年和 2025 年的反内卷政策有哪些主要变化和实施情况? 2024 年的反内卷政策从 5 月底开始,到 7 月份的政治局会议首次提出防止内 卷式竞争,随后在 12 月的中央经济工作会议上进一步强调整治内卷式竞争。 ...
政策聚焦光伏反内卷、发展海上风电等议题
Ping An Securities· 2025-07-07 08:58
电力设备及新能源 2025 年 7 月 7 日 行业周报 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2024-07-03 2024-12-03 2025-05-03 沪深300指数 电力设备及新能源 证券分析师 皮秀 投资咨询资格编号 S1060517070004 PIXIU809@pingan.com.cn 张之尧 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524070005 zhangzhiy ao757@pingan.com.cn 平安观点: 本周(6 月 30 日-7 月 4 日)新能源细分板块行情回顾。本周风电指数上 涨 1.3%,跑输沪深 300 指数 0.24 个百分点。截至本周,Wind 风电指数 整体市盈率(PE TTM) 为 19.69 倍 。 本周申万光伏设备指数 (801735.SI)上涨 5.76%,其中,申万光伏电池组件指数上涨 5.70%, 申万光伏加工设备指数上涨 1.24%,申万光伏辅材指数上涨 6.60%,当 前光伏板块市盈率约 31.75 倍。本周 储 能指 数(884790.WI)下跌 0.95%,当前储能板块整体市盈率为 30.51 倍 ; 氢能指数 (88 ...
明阳智能(601615) - 关于公司副董事长离任的公告
2025-07-07 08:15
葛长新先生的辞任不会影响公司日常生产经营和董事会正常运作。 证券代码:601615 证券简称:明阳智能 公告编号:2025-035 截至本公告披露日,葛长新先生未持有公司的股份,不存在应当履行而未履 行的相关承诺。 明阳智慧能源集团股份公司 关于公司副董事长离任的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 明阳智慧能源集团股份公司(以下简称"公司")于近日收到公司副董事长 葛长新先生提交的书面申请,因个人原因申请辞去公司副董事长职务和审计委员 会委员职务。 二、董事离任对公司的影响 根据《公司法》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——规范运 作》的相关规定,因葛长新先生的辞任将导致公司审计委员会成员低于法定最低 人数,其辞任在公司选举产生新的审计委员会成员后生效。公司将尽快完成审计 委员会成员的补选。 姓名 离任职务 离任时间 原定任期 到期日 离任 原因 是否继续在上 市公司及其控 股子公司任职 具体职 务(如适 用) 是否存在未 履行完毕的 公开承诺 葛长新 副董事长、 审计委员会 委员 公司补选产生 ...
明阳智能: 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所关于明阳智慧能源集团股份公司差异化分红事项的法律意见书
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-25 17:22
Core Viewpoint - The legal opinion letter from Beijing Zhonglun (Shenzhen) Law Firm confirms the legality and compliance of the differentiated dividend distribution plan proposed by Mingyang Smart Energy Group Co., Ltd for the fiscal year 2024, ensuring it does not harm the interests of the company and its shareholders [1][6]. Group 1: Differentiated Dividend Distribution - The differentiated dividend distribution is based on the company's decision to repurchase shares for equity incentives, with a total of 89,813,484 shares repurchased through centralized bidding [3][4]. - As of June 3, 2025, the total number of shares held in the repurchase account is 121,119,984 shares, which will not participate in the profit distribution for 2024 [4][5]. - The proposed cash dividend is set at 0.3041 yuan per share (including tax), leading to a total distribution of approximately 653,929,561.16 yuan (including tax) based on the adjusted share count [5][6]. Group 2: Legal Compliance and Verification - The law firm conducted a thorough review of the relevant documents and confirmed the authenticity and completeness of the information provided by the company [2][3]. - The legal opinion asserts that the differentiated dividend distribution complies with the Company Law, Securities Law, and other relevant regulations, ensuring no detriment to the company or its shareholders [6][7]. - The calculation of the ex-dividend reference price is based on the last closing price and the cash dividend, with the impact on the reference price being less than 1% [6].
明阳智能(601615) - 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所关于明阳智慧能源集团股份公司差异化分红事项的法律意见书
2025-06-25 10:01
关于明阳智慧能源集团股份公司 差异化分红事项的法律意见书 二〇二五年六月 1 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所 关于明阳智慧能源集团股份公司 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所 差异化分红事项的法律意见书 致:明阳智慧能源集团股份公司 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所(以下简称"本所")受明阳智慧能源集团 股份公司(以下简称"公司")委托,根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称 "《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、《上市公司 股份回购规则》(以下简称"《回购规则》")、《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管 指引第 7 号——回购股份》(以下简称"《回购指引》")等法律、法规及其他规范 性文件以及《明阳智慧能源集团股份公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的规 定,就公司 2024 年度利润分配所涉及的差异化权益分派特殊除权除息(以下简 称"本次差异化分红")相关事项出具本法律意见书。 为出具本法律意见书,本所律师审查了公司提供的相关文件。本所在进行法 律审查时公司向本所作出的如下保证:公司已经向本所提供了为出具本法律意见 书所需的全部资料,并保证该等资料的真实性、准确性、完整性,所有副本与正 ...
明阳智能(601615) - 2024年年度权益分派实施公告
2025-06-25 10:00
明阳智慧能源集团股份公司 证券代码:601615 证券简称:明阳智能 公告编号:2025-034 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.3041元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权(息)日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 2025/7/3 | - | 2025/7/4 | 2025/7/4 | 差异化分红送转: 是 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 21 日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 3. 差异化分红送转方案: (1)差异化分红方案 2025 年 5 月 21 日,明阳智慧能源集团股份公司(以下简称"公司")2024 年 年度股东大会审议通过了《关于 2024 年度利润分配方案的议案》:公司 2024 年度 拟以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股本扣除公司回购专户 ...
2025研判!中国海上风力发电行业政策、产业链、发展现状、竞争格局及发展趋势分析:收官之年攻坚在即,海上风电装机规模或将迎来显著攀升[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-20 01:16
Core Viewpoint - The offshore wind power industry is experiencing unprecedented growth due to global energy transition and strong policy support, with China leading in installed capacity and technological advancements [1][12]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Offshore wind power utilizes abundant wind resources in marine environments to generate electricity, offering advantages such as higher wind speeds and less land use compared to onshore wind power [2]. - As of April 2025, China's cumulative wind power installed capacity reached 54,119 MW, with offshore wind accounting for 4,351 MW, representing 8.04% of total wind capacity [1][12]. - China has maintained the world's leading position in newly installed and cumulative offshore wind capacity for four consecutive years, holding nearly half of the global total [1][12]. Group 2: Development History - China's offshore wind power development has evolved from initial projects in 2007 to becoming the world's largest market by 2020, driven by policy support and technological innovation [6]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" marks a critical turning point for the industry, aiming for higher quality and sustainable development [1][12]. Group 3: Policy Framework - The Chinese government has implemented systematic policies to support offshore wind power, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" which encourages the construction of offshore wind power bases and local government support [8][9]. - Policies are also promoting the integration of offshore wind with other sectors, such as marine ranching and floating photovoltaics, to enhance resource utilization [8][9]. Group 4: Industry Chain - The offshore wind power industry chain in China is robust, with stable supply of raw materials and continuous technological breakthroughs in key components [10]. - The manufacturing sector is dominated by leading companies that are pushing for larger turbine capacities and improved efficiency [10]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The market is characterized by a clear tiered structure, with leading companies like Envision Energy, Goldwind, and Mingyang Smart Energy dominating the first tier, while other firms are rapidly catching up [16][18]. - The competition has shifted from price-based to technology-driven, with a focus on large-scale turbine development and smart operation systems [16][18]. Group 6: Regional Development - Offshore wind power development in China shows a gradient pattern, with Guangdong and Jiangsu leading in installed capacity, while other provinces like Shandong and Zhejiang are also making significant progress [14]. - There remains a notable gap in meeting the "14th Five-Year Plan" targets, indicating a need for accelerated project construction [14]. Group 7: Future Trends - The industry is moving towards deep-sea development, with a focus on floating wind technology and multi-industry integration, which will enhance the overall capacity and efficiency of offshore wind power [24][25][26]. - Continuous technological upgrades are expected to improve turbine performance and operational efficiency, while fostering new business models through integration with other energy sectors [25][26].