谷歌-C：Earnings beat on efficiency gains; maintain AI investment plan to drive long-term growth-20250428

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for Alphabet with a target price of US$218.00, down from the previous target of US$234.00, reflecting a 33.0% upside from the current price of US$163.85 [3][8]. Core Insights - Alphabet reported 1Q25 total revenues of US$90.2 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, and operating income of US$30.6 billion, up 20% year-over-year, exceeding consensus estimates due to effective cost control in selling and marketing expenses [1][2]. - The company anticipates continued pressure on earnings growth in FY25 due to increased capital expenditures and accelerated depreciation [1][5]. - Alphabet's advertising business remains strong, with Google Search and other revenues growing by 10% year-over-year to US$50.7 billion in 1Q25, driven by sectors like financial services and retail [5][6]. - Google Cloud revenue grew by 28% year-over-year to US$12.3 billion in 1Q25, with operating profit margin improving to 17.8% [5][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25E are set at US$390.7 billion, with net profit expected to reach US$120.2 billion, reflecting an 8.5% increase from previous estimates [6][10]. - The company plans to maintain its FY25 capital expenditure guidance at US$75 billion, with a focus on key investment areas to drive long-term growth [1][5]. - Alphabet's operating margin improved to 33.9% in 1Q25, with a notable decrease in selling and marketing expenses [5][10]. Valuation - The target price of US$218.00 is based on a 22x FY25E P/E ratio, which is a premium to the sector average of 20x, reflecting Alphabet's leadership in the global advertising market and its potential to leverage AI [8][9].