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明阳智能(601615):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩符合预期,风机毛利率开始改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 performance met expectations, with an improvement in wind turbine gross margin [1] - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 27.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.43%, while net profit is expected to be 346.11 million yuan, down 8.12% year-on-year [7] - The company achieved a record new wind turbine order of 27.1 GW, indicating strong market demand despite challenges [7] - The report anticipates significant growth in net profit for 2025 and 2026, with projections of 2.37 billion yuan and 2.87 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 584.72% and 21.24% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 28.12 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 38.50 billion yuan by 2025, representing a growth rate of 41.75% [1][8] - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 8.1%, improving to 12.3% by 2025 [8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.15 yuan in 2024 to 1.04 yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease significantly from 68.19 in 2024 to 9.96 in 2025, indicating improved valuation [1][8]