Sungrow Power Supply(300274) 华泰证券·2025-04-28 05:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 77.857 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.76%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.036 billion RMB, up 16.92% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations due to strong profitability in the energy storage business [1][5]. - The company is a global leader in the solar and energy storage industry, with a significant increase in domestic and international orders since 2024, providing strong support for performance in 2025 [1][5]. - The company’s energy storage revenue reached 24.96 billion RMB in 2024, a 40.3% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.7%, driven by cost reductions in manufacturing and battery cells [3][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 27.911 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 47%. The net profit for the same period was 3.437 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 19.036 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 51%, while the net profit reached 3.826 billion RMB, up 83% year-on-year [2]. Energy Storage Segment - The company’s energy storage shipments in 2024 reached 28 GWh, a significant increase of 167% year-on-year, with an estimated sales volume of 25 GWh, leading to a unit price of approximately 0.96 RMB per Wh, down 43% year-on-year due to battery cell price reductions [3]. - In Q1 2025, energy storage shipments surged to 12 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 470%, maintaining profitability levels similar to 2024, primarily due to confirmed revenue from the Saudi energy storage project and export activities to the U.S. [3]. Photovoltaic Inverter Segment - The company’s revenue from photovoltaic inverters in 2024 was 29.13 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with a gross margin of 30.9% [4]. - The sales volume of photovoltaic inverters reached 147 GW in 2024, a 13% increase year-on-year, with a unit price of approximately 0.20 RMB per W, down 7% year-on-year [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.025 billion RMB, 13.557 billion RMB, and 15.209 billion RMB respectively, with a target price of 92.80 RMB based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [5][9].