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五粮液(000858):2024年年报与2025年一季报点评:2024年稳健收官,2025Q1彰显韧性
000858WLY(000858) 东莞证券·2025-04-28 06:19

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [1][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of 89.175 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 31.853 billion yuan, up 5.44% year-on-year [5]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 21.260 billion yuan, a 2.53% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 6.17% due to increased support for receivables and consumer cultivation efforts [5]. - For Q1 2025, the company demonstrated resilience with a total revenue of 36.940 billion yuan, a 6.05% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14.860 billion yuan, up 5.80% year-on-year [5]. - The company plans to align its 2025 revenue targets with macroeconomic indicators, maintaining a steady and rational operational goal [5]. - The company announced a year-end dividend of 31.69 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 12.301 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 70% [5]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenues of 93.723 billion yuan for 2025, 99.159 billion yuan for 2026, and 105.406 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding net profits of 33.527 billion yuan, 35.620 billion yuan, and 38.043 billion yuan respectively [6]. - The diluted earnings per share are projected to be 8.64 yuan for 2025 and 9.18 yuan for 2026, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15 times and 14 times respectively [5][6].