| 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sh600887 | 伊利股份 | 10.26% | 29.43 | 0.17% | | 1861.55 | ■ 食品饮料 | | sh600519 | 贵州茅台 | 9.82% | 1448.00 | -0.17% | | 18132.87 | 食品饮料 | | sz000858 | 五粮液 | 9.49% | 117.65 | -0.17% | 4 7 | 4566.71 | 食品饮料 | | sz002714 | 牧原股份 | 9.18% | 49.70 | -2.07% | | 2715.00 | 农林牧渔 | | sz000568 | 泸州老窖 | 6.62% | 135.76 | -0.09% | | 1998.31 | 食品饮料 | | sz300498 | 温氏股份 | 6.37% | 17.54 | -2.99% | | 1167.10 | 农林牧渔 | | sh600809 | 山西汾 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the essential consumer goods sector is "Outperform" for multiple companies including Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1] Core Insights - In November 2025, four out of eight monitored essential consumer sectors showed positive growth, while four experienced negative growth, with the growth sectors being condiments, frozen foods, soft drinks, and catering services [29] - The overall growth rates across all sectors have slowed compared to the previous month, attributed to macroeconomic conditions, structural industry challenges, and seasonal factors [29] Subsector Summaries Mid-to-High-End and Above Baijiu - Revenue for the mid-to-high-end and premium baijiu sector in November was RMB 24 billion, down 13.0% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 349.2 billion, a decline of 6.2% [30] - The market is experiencing simultaneous declines in both volume and price, with a conservative consumer spending trend [30] Mass-Market and Below Baijiu - Revenue for the mass-market and lower-tier baijiu industry reached RMB 18.9 billion in November, marking a 3.3% year-on-year decline, with cumulative revenue from January to November totaling RMB 180.9 billion, down 8.5% [30] - The production of baijiu in October was 276,000 kiloliters, down 18.3% year-on-year, indicating a challenging market environment [30] Beer - The domestic beer industry generated revenue of RMB 9.9 billion in November, a 2.0% year-on-year decline, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 162.6 billion, representing a 0.2% year-on-year increase [31] - Seasonal demand has decreased due to a nationwide temperature drop, leading to subdued overall demand [31] Condiments - The condiments sector reported revenue of RMB 418 billion in November, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 4,129 billion, up 1.3% [18] Frozen Foods - The frozen foods sector achieved revenue of RMB 81.6 billion in November, a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 964 billion, up 2.2% [22] Soft Drinks - Revenue for the soft drinks sector was RMB 388 billion in November, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 6,583 billion, up 4.1% [24] Catering - The catering industry reported revenue of RMB 130.4 billion in November, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, with cumulative revenue from January to November at RMB 1,607 billion, down 0.7% [26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [4][5][15]. Core Views - The food and beverage sector is expected to see a recovery in consumer demand as the year-end approaches, with a positive outlook for 2026 [3][10]. - The report highlights a differentiation in the performance of various sub-sectors, with beverages outperforming food and alcoholic beverages [2][10]. - Key investment opportunities are identified in leading companies within the sector, particularly those with strong growth potential and market positioning [3][10][15]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Sector Overview - The food and beverage sector has shown a slight increase of 0.03% this week, with A-shares remaining flat and H-shares up by 0.47% [1]. - The top performers in the sector include Hai Xin Food, Jia Long Co., and Yan Tang Dairy, with significant weekly gains [1]. 2. Sub-sector Analysis - **Alcoholic Beverages**: The report indicates that the liquor sector is in a bottoming phase, with premium brands like Moutai and Luzhou Laojiao expected to gain market share [2][10]. - **Beverages**: The beverage sector is experiencing stable demand recovery, with leading companies like Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage recommended for investment [2][14]. - **Food**: The snack segment is highlighted for its growth potential, particularly in konjac products, with companies like Wei Long and Yan Jin Pu Zi recommended [2][11]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The recommended investment portfolio includes Moutai, Baba Foods, Dongpeng Beverage, Wei Long, and Luzhou Laojiao, reflecting a diverse range of opportunities across the sector [3][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth trajectories, particularly in the context of changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [2][10][15]. 4. Earnings Forecasts - Earnings forecasts for key companies indicate a positive growth trajectory, with Moutai expected to achieve revenues of approximately 183.5 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [4][15]. - Other companies like Dongpeng Beverage and Baba Foods are also projected to see significant revenue growth, driven by market expansion and product innovation [15][17].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600696 | *ST岩石 | 4.78 | -2.85% | 6.49万 | 3115.55万 | | 002304 | 洋河股份 | 65.50 | -1.06% | 5.83万 | 3.83亿 | | 600809 | 山西汾酒 | 193.78 | -0.27% | 3.36万 | 6.52亿 | | 600702 | 舍得酒业 | 62.45 | -0.24% | 7.38万 | 4.61亿 | | 002646 | 大佑德酒 | 9.46 | -0.21% | 2.89万 | 2735.60万 | | 600519 | 票外茅台 | 1448.00 | -0.17% | 2.73万 | 39.62亿 | | 000858 | 五粮液 | 117.65 | -0.17% | 12.09万 | 14.23 乙 | | 000995 | 三四级别 | 12.67 | -0.16% | 3.17万 | 4032.83万 | | 000568 ...

21世纪经济报道记者肖夏 综合报道 年末临近，酒业进入年终总结和来年规划阶段。 贵州"十五五"规划建议：巩固酱酒产业集群，优化白酒产品结构和营销策略 中共贵州省委12月1日披露关于制定贵州省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议。 其中涉及酒产业的部分提到，巩固提升酱香白酒产业集群。壮大优强企业舰队，深化"赤水河谷 中国酱 香"产区品牌建设，巩固全国重要的白酒生产基地领先地位，打造具有全球影响力的历史经典产业集 群。优化调整白酒产品结构和营销策略，拓展"卖酒向卖生活方式转变"路径，丰富多元消费场景，更好 适应市场需求。实施"黔酒出海"专项行动，支持企业大力开拓国际市场。做强做大先进装备制造产业集 群。 白酒是贵州工业第一大产业。2024年贵州全省白酒产业完成产值1600亿元。今年上半年，贵州白酒规上 工业增加值同比增长3.8%。 国家级啤酒评酒委员换届 384评酒员齐聚山城 11月23-25日，第八届国家级啤酒评酒委员换届选拔，在重庆举行，吸引了384名来自全国各地的啤酒品 评员到来。本次换届活动由中国酒业协会主办，重庆啤酒股份有限公司支持。 面临新的变化，陈华表示，茅台将始终坚持"四个服从"（产量服从质量 ...

11月29日，"天府珍水"五粮液酒文化论坛在都江堰市举办。作为青城山-都江堰世界文化遗产保护传承系列活动的重要组成部分，论坛以"珍水万世 堰・幸福安逸城"为核心主题，汇聚文化学者、非遗传承人、水酒产业领军者及相关部门代表，围绕"天府珍水"文化挖掘与产业协同展开深度对话，为世 遗资源活化利用与地方产业升级注入新动能。 本次论坛由青堰文旅与五粮液联合主办，30家水酒、文旅、消费类企业代表参与，核心聚焦"天府珍水"的内涵解读、文化生态融合及产业品牌协同三 大方向。青堰文旅公司负责人王治川在致辞中阐释，"天府珍水"兼具多重价值，作为"文化之水"，其承载的蜀水文化与五粮液的传承理念深度契合；作 为"源头之水"，它筑牢城市生态基底，是成都平原永续发展的生态根基；作为"活力之水"，它串联文化传承、生态保护与产业发展，为区域产业升级提供 核心驱动力。他表示，期望以"天府珍水"为纽带，推动世界遗产当代价值与民族品牌匠心精神相互成就，实现遗产传承保护与产业发展双向赋能。 在"天府珍水"文化生态融合发展研讨环节，四川省李冰研究中心学术委员会委员王国平认为"珍水万世"是水文化的核心内涵。他结合都江堰营建的史 料考证，指出这一"活着的 ...

一份份惨淡的三季报，折射出白酒行业共同的困境与挣扎。 中泰金融国际首席经济学家李迅雷指出，这与房地产下行、人口老龄化密切相关，曾经携手的两大行业，如今同步走向黄昏。 二十家白酒上市公司总营收同比下跌百分之十八，利润暴跌百分之二十二，二零二五年三季度的成绩单，以近乎残酷的方式揭开行业寒冬。 十八家企业收入全线下跌，行业龙头贵州茅台仅勉强维持百分之零点五的增速，创下十年新低，五粮液第三季度营收几近腰斩，洋河亏了三点七亿元，古 井贡利润下跌超七成，曾经风光的白酒行业，正经历第三次周期性调整。 和前两次不同，驱动行业的两大发动机，地产周期和人口结构，动力已明显不足。 白酒行业马太效应愈发突出，二零二五年前三季度，茅台、五粮液等六家头部企业营收超百亿元，合计占十八家酒企总营收的百分之八十八点二二，抗风 险能力更强，中小酒企举步维艰。 价格带分化明显，五百元以上价格带茅台五粮液合计占七成份额，三百到五百元价格带成压力最大群体，面临上挤下压，高端酒价格下探，区域酒企拼性 价比，中端市场竞争白热化。 白酒行业此前有过两次调整，一九九八年受金融危机和假酒案冲击，二零一二年因塑化剂事件和八项规定降温，而此次第三次调整，背后是结构 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for high-quality companies in the food and beverage sector, indicating that it has entered a strategic allocation period [6][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in revenue for major liquor companies, with high-end liquor prices continuing to drop, leading to a search for a balance between volume and price [6][7]. - It emphasizes the need for patience regarding fundamentals and notes that the performance of individual stocks will vary during this adjustment phase [6][8]. - The report anticipates that stock price returns will primarily come from valuation contributions in the upcoming year, suggesting reasonable expectations for price movements [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview of Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.07% last week, with the liquor segment declining by 0.73%, underperforming the broader market by 1.33 percentage points [5]. - The top gainers included Hai Xin Food (up 45.38%), Jia Long Co. (up 16.29%), and Yan Tang Dairy (up 15.25%) [5]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Segments - The report provides detailed pricing data for major liquor brands, noting that Moutai's bottle price is 1570 RMB, down 80 RMB week-on-week, and Wuliangye's price is approximately 825 RMB, down 5 RMB [7][25]. - It discusses the strategic direction of Moutai, focusing on quality over quantity and maintaining stable cash dividend policies [7]. 3. Industry Indicators and Future Outlook - The report predicts a gradual improvement in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2026, which could lead to a recovery for companies with pricing power in various sub-sectors [8]. - It recommends focusing on sectors such as seasoning, frozen foods, and dairy, highlighting companies like Anjiu Food, Qianhe Flavor, and Yili Group as key players [8]. 4. Valuation Levels - As of November 28, the food and beverage sector has a dynamic PE of 20.59x, with a premium rate of 28%, while the liquor segment has a dynamic PE of 19.35x, with a premium rate of 20% [26].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report indicates that the food and beverage sector is entering a strategic allocation period, particularly for high-quality companies, as the market is expected to reach a predictable bottom in the near future [2][6][8] - Key recommendations for the liquor sector include Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Wuliangye, while for consumer goods, the focus is on Yili, Qingdao Beer, Anjui Food, Qianhe Flavor Industry, Tianwei Food, and New Dairy [2][6][8] Group 2: Market Performance - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.07% last week, with the liquor segment declining by 0.73%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.33 percentage points [5] - Moutai's bottle price is reported at 1570 RMB, down 80 RMB week-on-week, while the box price is 1580 RMB, down 85 RMB [7][30] Group 3: Industry Trends - The report highlights that the high-end liquor prices are declining, indicating a search for balance between volume and price in the market [6][7] - For the consumer goods sector, the core observation for 2026 is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to improve gradually, leading to potential recovery for companies with pricing power [8][31] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - As of November 28, 2025, the food and beverage sector has a dynamic PE of 20.59x, with a premium rate of 28%, while the liquor sector has a dynamic PE of 19.35x, with a premium rate of 20% [31]

02 白酒简介 02-1、白酒类别 不同香型的原料与工艺虽有差异，但高粱如同白酒酿造的 "核心基石"—— 浓香、酱香、清香等主流香型均以高粱为核心原料，12 种香型中仅特香、豉香 不含高粱，且二者市场占比极低。 白酒香型体系的建立始于 1979 年第三次全国评酒会，此次评酒会首次按香型评比，确立了浓香、清香、酱香、米香四大基本香型，如同搭建起香型体系 的 "基础框架"。后续随着生产工艺升级、风味特征分化，在四大基本香型的基础上交融演化出另外八种香型，最终形成十二种香型的完整格局。 | | 清香型 | 液香型 | 酱香型 | 米香型 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 原料 | 高梁 | 高梁/多粮混合 | 高梁及小麦 | 大米 | | 生产工艺 | 清蒸清烧、二次清 | 四次投粮、蒸煮、 | 一年制酒、两次投 料、九次蒸煮、八 次发酵、七次取酒, | 固态糖化,半固态 发酵,釜式间接加 | | | | 投曲、发酵 | | | | | | | 窖藏后经过多轮次 | 热蒸馏 | | | | | 勾兑 | | | 发酵设备 | 陶瓷地紅 | 泥窖 | 石窖泥底 | 陶紅 | | ...