HQTI(SH:688281) HTSC·2025-04-28 07:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 85.32 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.139 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 24.17%, and a net profit of 414 million RMB, up 23.56% year-over-year. The Q4 revenue was 401 million RMB, showing a year-over-year growth of 27.27% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 58.92% [1]. - The company is recognized as a leader in military stealth materials, with expectations for sustained demand and growth potential as subsidiaries ramp up production [1][4]. - The company experienced a decline in Q1 2025 revenue to 241 million RMB, down 2.48% year-over-year, and a net profit of 63 million RMB, down 45.23% year-over-year, primarily due to increased costs from R&D and underutilization of subsidiary production capacity [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.139 billion RMB, with a breakdown of revenue sources: special functional materials at 1.023 billion RMB (+15.27% YoY), acoustic metamaterials and instruments at 44 million RMB (+143.33% YoY), aerospace components processing at 62 million RMB (+461.84% YoY), and ceramic matrix composites generating 200.88 thousand RMB [2]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 50.69%, down 7.09 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to high fixed costs and underutilization of production capacity [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 462 million RMB, 583 million RMB, and 717 million RMB respectively, reflecting a downward revision of 28.68% and 28.83% for 2025 and 2026 [4][17]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 36 times for 2025, with a target price of 85.32 RMB, down from a previous estimate of 111.80 RMB [4][17]. Key Financial Metrics - Projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 20.41%, 27.38%, and 22.87% respectively, with net profit growth rates of 11.52%, 26.21%, and 23.05% [6][24]. - The company’s EPS is expected to increase from 2.13 RMB in 2024 to 3.68 RMB in 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [6][24].