明阳智能（601615）：低谷已过，业绩有望逐步释放

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a significant price increase over the next 6-12 months [3][10]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.2 billion RMB in 2024, a decrease of 3.4% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 346 million RMB, down 8.1% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.7 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 51.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 300 million RMB, a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year [2][3]. - The wind turbine manufacturing and power generation business faced profitability pressure, while the sale of power plants continued to grow. In 2024, revenue from wind turbines and related components was 20.83 billion RMB, down 12.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of -0.46%. The power generation revenue increased by 15.4%, but the gross margin decreased by 5.86 percentage points to 57.1% [2][3]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability as projects in Guangdong begin construction, and the market for offshore wind continues to improve [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 27.2 billion RMB, a decline of 3.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 346 million RMB, down 8.1% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 7.7 billion RMB, up 51.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 300 million RMB, down 0.7% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - Wind turbine and related component sales generated 20.83 billion RMB in revenue, down 12.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of -0.46%. Power generation revenue grew by 15.4%, but the gross margin decreased to 57.1%. The sale of power plants increased by 34.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 43.2% [2][3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.18 billion RMB, 2.68 billion RMB, and 3.21 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11, 9, and 7 [3][7].