海泰新光（688677）：2024年业绩短暂承压，2024Q4已迎来业绩拐点

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to experience a temporary pressure on performance in 2024, with a turning point anticipated in Q4 2024. The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 443 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.90%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 135 million yuan, down 7.11% year-on-year. In contrast, Q1 2025 shows a positive trend with revenue of 147 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.86%, and a net profit of 47 million yuan, up 21.45% year-on-year [4][5][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 443 million yuan, a decrease of 5.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of 135 million yuan, down 7.11% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 147 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.86% [4][5][10]. Business Dynamics - The company's revenue in 2024 was impacted by inventory destocking from major clients, particularly in the medical endoscope segment, which generated 345 million yuan, a decrease of 7.04% year-on-year. However, Q4 2024 revenue rebounded to 124 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.59%, indicating a recovery trend [5][6]. - The company has strengthened its collaboration with major clients, successfully passing various certifications for its U.S. subsidiary, which has facilitated order fulfillment. The establishment of production capabilities in Thailand has also enhanced its ability to meet U.S. demand [6]. Market Position and Growth Prospects - The company is making steady progress in its domestic complete machine business, with significant brand-building efforts leading to a notable increase in sales. The 4K camera system was successfully mass-produced in 2024, and a wide range of laparoscopes has been registered and launched in the domestic market [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 560 million yuan, 675 million yuan, and 817 million yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 26.5%, 20.5%, and 21.1%. The net profit for the same period is expected to be 188 million yuan, 232 million yuan, and 286 million yuan, with growth rates of 38.6%, 23.7%, and 23.1% [7][8].