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特变电工(600089):2024年、2025年一季报点评:国际市场开拓卓见成效,2025年计划实现收入超千亿
600089TBEA(600089) EBSCN·2025-04-28 11:14

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [4][6][14]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 97.87 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.14 billion yuan, down 61.37% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 23.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.77% year-on-year, but net profit improved to 1.6 billion yuan, a 19.74% decrease year-on-year, indicating a recovery from previous losses [1][4]. - The company plans to achieve revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on controlling operating costs within 84 billion yuan. Despite challenges in the silicon material business, other segments such as coal, power transmission, and gold are expected to support revenue and cost control targets [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 97.87 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.14 billion yuan. The Q1 2025 results showed a revenue of 23.38 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan [1][4]. - The company’s silicon material sales volume decreased by 1.82% to 199,200 tons, with an average selling price dropping approximately 60% to 38,400 yuan per ton, leading to a 33.94% decline in revenue from new energy products and engineering services [2]. - The gold business saw a significant revenue increase of 187.75% to 1.193 billion yuan, despite a decrease in gross margin [2]. Business Segments - The power transmission and transformation sector showed steady growth, with revenues of 22.36 billion yuan from electrical equipment, 15.69 billion yuan from wires and cables, and 4.93 billion yuan from complete power transmission and transformation projects, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.98%, 15.81%, and 0.26% respectively [3]. - The company secured domestic contracts worth 49.1 billion yuan in the power transmission sector, a year-on-year increase of approximately 21%, and international project contracts exceeded 1.2 billion USD, with a growth rate of over 70% [3]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 105 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on maintaining cost control despite ongoing pressures in the silicon material sector. The coal and power transmission segments are expected to contribute positively to the overall performance [4][5]. - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 anticipates net profits of 7.22 billion yuan, 8.39 billion yuan, and 9.13 billion yuan respectively, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 8 times for 2025 [5][12].