XINJI ENERGY(SH:601918) Guotou Securities·2025-04-28 12:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 9.35 CNY over the next six months [5][11]. Core Views - The company has shown resilience in controlling costs despite a decline in coal prices, resulting in a slight increase in gross profit per ton of coal in Q1 2025. The company reported a revenue of 12.727 billion CNY in 2024, a decrease of 0.92% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 13.44% to 2.393 billion CNY [2][3][11]. - The coal business has seen a significant improvement in gross profit margins due to increased prices and reduced costs, while the power generation segment benefited from the commissioning of the second phase of the Banji Power Plant, leading to a notable increase in electricity generation [3][4][11]. - The company is accelerating the progress of its power projects, with a total planned capacity of 4.64 GW, and aims to establish a "coal-coal power-new energy" development pattern by 2025 [10][11]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total coal production of 21.5222 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.57%, while the average selling price of coal was 567 CNY per ton, up 2.91% year-on-year [3][12]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.910 billion CNY, a decrease of 4.85% year-on-year, with a net profit of 532 million CNY, down 11.01% year-on-year [2][4]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 12.770 billion CNY, 14.987 billion CNY, and 15.710 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 2.200 billion CNY, 2.572 billion CNY, and 2.828 billion CNY [11][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading coal enterprise under the China Coal Group, with significant coal resources and a high proportion of long-term contracts, enhancing revenue stability [11]. - The ongoing construction of power projects is strategically located near the company's coal mines, which is expected to significantly boost performance once operational [11][12]. - The company has received support from its major shareholder, China Coal Group, which plans to increase its stake in the company, reflecting confidence in its future growth [10][11].